Eryk Anders vs Christian Leroy Duncan

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Duncan's striking superiority is evident with 62% accuracy vs Anders' 47%, plus a positive strike differential (+1.14 vs -0.76). Duncan's 4-inch reach advantage and switch stance create targeting problems for the southpaw Anders. While Anders has better wrestling (1.79 TD/fight), his 26% accuracy is poor and Duncan's 64% TDD should suffice. Duncan's recent KO wins show improved finishing ability, and Anders absorbs 4.17 strikes per minute - a dangerous rate against Duncan's power.

Duncan holds a significant statistical edge in striking accuracy (62% vs 47%) and striking volume (4.71 SLpM vs 3.41 SLpM), along with a positive strike differential (+1.14 vs -0.76). Anders' wrestling is unlikely to be a major factor given his low takedown accuracy (26%) and Duncan's respectable 64% takedown defense. Duncan's higher output and precision on the feet should carry him to a clear decision win.