- Duncan's +1.9 striking differential advantage creates cumulative damage
- 4-inch reach advantage with 62% accuracy vs Anders' 47%
- Anders absorbs 4.17 strikes/minute - vulnerable to Duncan's power
- Duncan's switch stance disrupts Anders' southpaw rhythm
Write-up
Duncan's striking superiority is evident with 62% accuracy vs Anders' 47%, plus a positive strike differential (+1.14 vs -0.76). Duncan's 4-inch reach advantage and switch stance create targeting problems for the southpaw Anders. While Anders has better wrestling (1.79 TD/fight), his 26% accuracy is poor and Duncan's 64% TDD should suffice. Duncan's recent KO wins show improved finishing ability, and Anders absorbs 4.17 strikes per minute - a dangerous rate against Duncan's power.
- Superior striking accuracy and volume for Duncan
- Positive strike differential for Duncan versus negative for Anders
- Anders' low takedown success and inability to consistently control on the ground
Write-up
Duncan holds a significant statistical edge in striking accuracy (62% vs 47%) and striking volume (4.71 SLpM vs 3.41 SLpM), along with a positive strike differential (+1.14 vs -0.76). Anders' wrestling is unlikely to be a major factor given his low takedown accuracy (26%) and Duncan's respectable 64% takedown defense. Duncan's higher output and precision on the feet should carry him to a clear decision win.