- 74-inch reach advantage allows Fili to maintain distance and avoid Rodriguez's submission attempts
- 70% takedown defense vs Rodriguez's modest 54% takedown accuracy suggests limited grappling success
- Rodriguez's recent weight class change from bantamweight may impact his power and durability at 145
- Fili's 2.15 takedowns per fight could exploit Rodriguez's 65% takedown defense for control time
Write-up
Fili's significant physical advantages (4-inch height, 3-inch reach) combined with his superior takedown defense (70% vs 65%) should allow him to control distance and dictate the fight. Rodriguez's submission game (1.1 sub avg) poses the primary threat, but Fili's experience and improved defensive wrestling should neutralize this. Fili's recent KO loss shows vulnerability, but his 3-fight win streak prior demonstrates consistency at this level.
- Rodriguez's superior striking accuracy (47% vs 37%) and defense (58% vs 51%)
- Rodriguez's higher submission average (1.1 vs 0.2) increases finish threat
- Fili's negative strike differential and higher strikes absorbed per minute
Write-up
Rodriguez holds clear statistical advantages in striking accuracy, striking defense, and submission threat. His positive strike differential (+1.09) and lower strikes absorbed per minute indicate superior defensive skills. Fili's volume and wrestling are respectable, but Rodriguez's submission rate and technical efficiency give him more avenues to win over three rounds.