Featherweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
FINAL: Andre Fili by S-DEC
Andre Fili
Age 35 · Elo 1539
LLWWL
167 days since last fight
vs
Christian Rodriguez
Age 27 · Elo 1519
LWWLW
133 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Andre FiliChristian Rodriguez
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Andre FiliChristian Rodriguez
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Andre Fili by Decision, 68% confidence
Fili's significant physical advantages (4-inch height, 3-inch reach) combined with his superior takedown defense (70% vs 65%) should allow him to control distance and dictate the fight. Rodriguez's submission game (1.1 sub avg) poses the primary threat, but Fili's experience and improved defensive wrestling should neutralize this. Fili's recent KO loss shows vulnerability, but his 3-fight win streak prior demonstrates consistency at this level.
GPT
Christian Rodriguez by Decision, 68% confidence
Rodriguez holds clear statistical advantages in striking accuracy, striking defense, and submission threat. His positive strike differential (+1.09) and lower strikes absorbed per minute indicate superior defensive skills. Fili's volume and wrestling are respectable, but Rodriguez's submission rate and technical efficiency give him more avenues to win over three rounds.