Stephanie Luciano vs Ravena Oliveira

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Luciano's significant striking volume advantage (5.3 SLPM vs 1.0 SLPM) combined with superior defensive metrics (68% vs 48%) creates a clear path to victory. Oliveira's recent loss at bantamweight and drop to strawweight suggests potential weight cut issues. Luciano's 2-0 UFC record with consistent decision victories shows she can execute game plans effectively.

Luciano holds a clear edge in striking volume, accuracy, and defensive metrics. Her significant strike differential (+2.77) and high defensive efficiency (68%) outclass Oliveira, who has a negative striking differential and absorbs more than she lands. While Oliveira's takedown numbers are higher, Luciano's 85% takedown defense and 100% takedown accuracy suggest she can neutralize or reverse wrestling exchanges. Neither fighter has demonstrated finishing ability, making a decision outcome highly probable.