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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. AllenWomen's BantamweightPrelims
Melissa
Croden
VS
Tainara
Lisboa
2-1UFC
Final: Melissa Croden by KO/TKO Punches
Who wins
Croden winsevenLisboa wins
Claude 78% Lisboa
GPT 75% Lisboa
Elo 55% Croden
Claude
78%
Lisboa
GPT
75%
Lisboa
Elo
55%
Croden
1501 vs 1469
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'9"
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.27
Landed / min
2.05
2.13
Absorbed / minlower better
1.40
47%
Strike accuracy
50%
59%
Strike defense
54%
2.02
Takedowns / 15
2.05
50%
TD accuracy
40%
66%
TD defense
70%
0.3
Subs / 15
0.5
Small sample: Melissa Croden, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
50%Submission
Claude calls Submission, Round 2
KO/TKO 15%Submission 50%Decision 35%
65%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 15%Submission 20%Decision 65%
Formnewest first
Melissa Croden
No UFC fights
Tainara Lisboa154 days out
L
Luana Santos
SUB Keylock · 2025-05-17
W
Ravena Oliveira
U-DEC · 2023-10-14
W
Jessica-Rose Clark
SUB · 2023-05-13
Why
Claude
Tainara Lisboa
78% · Submission
- Lisboa's 0.5 submission average with recent SUB victory shows finishing ability
- 2.05 takedowns per fight allows Lisboa to dictate fight location
- Croden making UFC debut with zero available performance data
- Lisboa's 70% takedown defense suggests well-rounded grappling game
Write-up
Lisboa's complete statistical profile versus Croden's lack of UFC data creates a significant mismatch. Lisboa averages 2.05 takedowns and 0.5 submissions per fight, demonstrating clear grappling threats. Her recent submission victory and 2-0 UFC record indicate she's comfortable finishing fights. Croden's UFC debut status and absence of metrics suggest vulnerability to experienced opposition.
GPT
Tainara Lisboa
75% · Decision
- Lisboa's UFC experience and proven statistical output
- Croden's lack of UFC-level data and unknowns
- Lisboa's striking accuracy (50%) and strong takedown defense (70%)
Write-up
Tainara Lisboa has demonstrated effective striking volume, accuracy, and grappling efficiency in her UFC appearances, whereas Melissa Croden is debuting with no measurable UFC stats. Lisboa's balanced skill set and proven defensive metrics make her a clear favorite against an untested opponent.