Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Holland's significant reach advantage (8 inches) and superior striking volume (4.24 vs 3.85 SLPM) should control distance against the Canadian. Despite recent losses, Holland's experience edge and defensive wrestling improvements make him difficult to control. Malott's poor takedown defense (16%) negates his grappling threat.

Holland holds a significant 8-inch reach advantage and superior striking metrics, enabling him to control range and tempo. While Malott has higher takedown and submission averages, his takedown defense is very weak (16%), making him unlikely to consistently impose his grappling. Holland's experience against higher-level opposition, solid striking defense, and submission awareness further tilt the matchup in his favor.