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Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius

Women's Flyweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen

FINAL: Manon Fiorot by KO/TKO Punches
Manon Fiorot
Manon Fiorot
Age 35 · Elo 1612
LWWWW
161 days since last fight
vs
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Age 36 · Elo 1563
WWLWW
161 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Manon FiorotJasmine Jasudavicius
Claude Claude: Manon Fiorot 78% Claude: Jasmine Jasudavicius 22% 78% 22% GPT GPT: Manon Fiorot 78% GPT: Jasmine Jasudavicius 22% 78% 22% Elo Elo: Manon Fiorot 57% Elo: Jasmine Jasudavicius 43% 57% 43%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Manon FiorotJasmine Jasudavicius
Strikes landed / min Manon Fiorot Strikes landed / min: 5.66 5.66 Jasmine Jasudavicius Strikes landed / min: 3.47 3.47 Strikes absorbed / min Manon Fiorot Strikes absorbed / min: 3.58 3.58 Jasmine Jasudavicius Strikes absorbed / min: 3.46 3.46 Striking accuracy Manon Fiorot Striking accuracy: 42% 42% Jasmine Jasudavicius Striking accuracy: 44% 44% Striking defense Manon Fiorot Striking defense: 66% 66% Jasmine Jasudavicius Striking defense: 51% 51% Takedowns / 15 min Manon Fiorot Takedowns / 15 min: 1.05 1.05 Jasmine Jasudavicius Takedowns / 15 min: 2.63 2.63 Takedown defense Manon Fiorot Takedown defense: 87% 87% Jasmine Jasudavicius Takedown defense: 75% 75% Sub attempts / 15 min Manon Fiorot Sub attempts / 15 min: no data - Jasmine Jasudavicius Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.5 0.5

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 15% 15% Claude: Submission 7% Claude: Decision 78% 78%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 13% 13% GPT: Submission 2% GPT: Decision 85% 85%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Manon Fiorot by Decision, 78% confidence

Fiorot's superior striking defense (68% vs 51%) and significant strike differential (+2.49 vs +0.04) create a clear path to victory. Her 93% takedown defense will neutralize Jasudavicius's wrestling advantage (2.55 TD/fight), forcing a striking battle where Fiorot holds every advantage. Jasudavicius's recent weight class changes (2 in last 5 fights) suggest potential weight management issues that could impact her cardio against the consistent Fiorot.

GPT
Manon Fiorot by Decision, 78% confidence

Fiorot's superior striking volume, elite defensive metrics, and exceptional takedown defense (93%) make her a difficult stylistic matchup for Jasudavicius. Despite Jasudavicius' grappling prowess and higher takedown average, Fiorot's ability to avoid being grounded and control exchanges at range should allow her to dictate the fight and outpoint her opponent over three rounds.