Women's Flyweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
FINAL: Manon Fiorot by KO/TKO Punches
Manon Fiorot
Age 35 · Elo 1612
LWWWW
161 days since last fight
vs
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Age 36 · Elo 1563
WWLWW
161 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Manon FiorotJasmine Jasudavicius
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Manon FiorotJasmine Jasudavicius
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Manon Fiorot by Decision, 78% confidence
Fiorot's superior striking defense (68% vs 51%) and significant strike differential (+2.49 vs +0.04) create a clear path to victory. Her 93% takedown defense will neutralize Jasudavicius's wrestling advantage (2.55 TD/fight), forcing a striking battle where Fiorot holds every advantage. Jasudavicius's recent weight class changes (2 in last 5 fights) suggest potential weight management issues that could impact her cardio against the consistent Fiorot.
GPT
Manon Fiorot by Decision, 78% confidence
Fiorot's superior striking volume, elite defensive metrics, and exceptional takedown defense (93%) make her a difficult stylistic matchup for Jasudavicius. Despite Jasudavicius' grappling prowess and higher takedown average, Fiorot's ability to avoid being grounded and control exchanges at range should allow her to dictate the fight and outpoint her opponent over three rounds.