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UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. AllenLightweightPrelims
Kyle Prepolec
Kyle
Prepolec
0-3UFC
36 yrsElo 1426*
VS
Drew DoberWINNER
Drew
Dober
13-12UFC
36 yrsElo 1545
Final: Drew Dober by KO/TKO Punches
Who wins
Claude
78%
Dober
GPT
77%
Dober
Elo
66%
Dober
1426 vs 1545
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'10" Height 5'8"
70" Reach 70"
Southpaw Stance Southpaw
3.20 Landed / min 4.48
4.70 Absorbed / minlower better 4.33
34% Strike accuracy 41%
54% Strike defense 53%
n/a Takedowns / 15 0.61
0% TD accuracy 16%
40% TD defense 58%
n/a Subs / 15 0.1
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 65%Claude: Submission 5%Claude: Decision 30%
65%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 1
KO/TKO 65%Submission 5%Decision 30%
GPT: KO/TKO 62%GPT: Submission 5%GPT: Decision 33%
62%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO
KO/TKO 62%Submission 5%Decision 33%
Formnewest first
Kyle Prepolec161 days out
L
Benoit Saint Denis
SUB Arm Triangle · 2025-05-10
L
Austin Hubbard
U-DEC · 2019-09-14
L
Nordine Taleb
U-DEC · 2019-05-04
Drew Dober203 days out
L
Manuel Torres
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-03-29
L
Jean Silva
KO/TKO · 2024-02-03
L
Renato Moicano
U-DEC · 2024-02-03
W
Ricky Glenn
KO/TKO · 2023-10-07
L
Matt Frevola
KO/TKO · 2023-05-06
Why
Claude
Drew Dober
78% · KO/TKO
  • Prepolec's 5+ year layoff since 2019 vs Dober's consistent activity through 2024
  • Dober's 1.19 strikes/minute advantage with superior 40% accuracy vs 34%
  • Prepolec's 0-2 UFC record with poor striking defense (54%) vs Dober's KO power
  • Experience gap with Dober's 25+ UFC fights vs Prepolec's 2 UFC appearances
Write-up

Dober's significant experience advantage (25+ UFC fights vs 2) and superior striking volume (4.39 vs 3.2 SLPM) overwhelm the inactive Prepolec. Prepolec hasn't fought since 2019 (5+ year layoff) while Dober remains active despite recent losses to elite competition. Dober's 40% striking accuracy with knockout power faces Prepolec's poor 34% accuracy and weak 54% defense. The southpaw mirror match favors the more experienced Dober.

GPT
Drew Dober
77% · KO/TKO
  • Higher striking volume and accuracy for Dober
  • Prepolec's negative strike differential and poor defense
  • Dober's proven knockout power and experience against elite opponents
Write-up

Drew Dober holds significant statistical advantages in striking volume, accuracy, and durability. Prepolec is hit frequently, absorbs more strikes than he lands, and has a low takedown defense, making him vulnerable to Dober's pressure boxing and power. Dober also boasts higher finishing rates and a proven record against UFC-level competition, while Prepolec has minimal finishing metrics and has struggled defensively.