Danny Barlow vs Djorden Santos

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Barlow enters on a 3-fight win streak with superior momentum and UFC experience. His 4-inch reach advantage and southpaw stance create awkward angles for the orthodox Santos. Santos lacks UFC experience (0-0 record) and his striking differential (+2.94) comes from regional competition. Barlow's perfect takedown defense (100%) neutralizes Santos' wrestling threat. The fight at middleweight favors Barlow who naturally competes at welterweight.

Both fighters have high output and similar striking defense, but Santos edges Barlow in striking accuracy, strike differential, and adds a limited but statistically significant wrestling threat. Barlow's perfect takedown defense should neutralize most grappling, but Santos' volume, efficiency, and mixed attack give him a slight edge over three rounds.