Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Jourdain's significant striking volume advantage (5.48 vs 4.77 SLPM) combined with Grant's age (38 years old) and 511-day layoff creates a clear path to victory. Jourdain's striking differential of +1.13 versus Grant's +0.95 shows superior offensive output. Grant hasn't fought since July 2023, and at his age, the ring rust combined with Jourdain's pressure could lead to a stoppage.

Jourdain's higher striking output, superior accuracy, and ability to switch stances should allow him to outpoint Grant in a competitive standup affair. Grant's wrestling advantage is somewhat negated by Jourdain's decent scrambling and Grant's historically inconsistent control on the mat. Both fighters are durable, but Jourdain's striking defense and volume edge give him the nod over three rounds.