- Grant hasn't fought in 511 days at 38 years old - significant ring rust concern
- Jourdain lands 0.71 more strikes per minute with better accuracy (48% vs 42%)
- Jourdain dropping to bantamweight could mean improved speed and power
- Grant's 55% striking defense vulnerable to Jourdain's volume approach
Write-up
Jourdain's significant striking volume advantage (5.48 vs 4.77 SLPM) combined with Grant's age (38 years old) and 511-day layoff creates a clear path to victory. Jourdain's striking differential of +1.13 versus Grant's +0.95 shows superior offensive output. Grant hasn't fought since July 2023, and at his age, the ring rust combined with Jourdain's pressure could lead to a stoppage.
- Jourdain's striking volume (5.48 SLpM vs 4.77 SLpM)
- Higher striking accuracy (48% vs 42%)
- Grant's takedown success offset by Jourdain's strong movement
Write-up
Jourdain's higher striking output, superior accuracy, and ability to switch stances should allow him to outpoint Grant in a competitive standup affair. Grant's wrestling advantage is somewhat negated by Jourdain's decent scrambling and Grant's historically inconsistent control on the mat. Both fighters are durable, but Jourdain's striking defense and volume edge give him the nod over three rounds.