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Bruno Silva vs HyunSung Park

Flyweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen

FINAL: Bruno Silva by SUB Rear Naked Choke
Bruno Silva
Bruno Silva
Age 36 · Elo 1500
LLLLW
133 days since last fight
vs
HyunSung Park
HyunSung Park
Age 29 · Elo 1532*
WWW
154 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Bruno SilvaHyunSung Park
Claude Claude: Bruno Silva 28% Claude: HyunSung Park 72% 28% 72% GPT GPT: Bruno Silva 26% GPT: HyunSung Park 74% 26% 74% Elo Elo: Bruno Silva 45% Elo: HyunSung Park 55% 45% 55%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Bruno SilvaHyunSung Park
Strikes landed / min Bruno Silva Strikes landed / min: 4.12 4.12 HyunSung Park Strikes landed / min: 4.15 4.15 Strikes absorbed / min Bruno Silva Strikes absorbed / min: 5.45 5.45 HyunSung Park Strikes absorbed / min: 3.43 3.43 Striking accuracy Bruno Silva Striking accuracy: 49% 49% HyunSung Park Striking accuracy: 44% 44% Striking defense Bruno Silva Striking defense: 41% 41% HyunSung Park Striking defense: 59% 59% Takedowns / 15 min Bruno Silva Takedowns / 15 min: 0.93 0.93 HyunSung Park Takedowns / 15 min: 1.54 1.54 Takedown defense Bruno Silva Takedown defense: 73% 73% HyunSung Park Takedown defense: 100% 100% Sub attempts / 15 min Bruno Silva Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0 HyunSung Park Sub attempts / 15 min: 2.6 2.6

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 25% 25% Claude: Submission 55% 55% Claude: Decision 20% 20%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 13% 13% GPT: Submission 22% 22% GPT: Decision 65% 65%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
HyunSung Park by Submission, 72% confidence

Park's perfect takedown defense (100%) and massive submission threat (2.6 sub avg) create a nightmare matchup for Silva. Silva's erratic weight cutting between middleweight and flyweight (2 weight class changes) suggests severe depletion issues. Park's 8-inch reach disadvantage is mitigated by his superior grappling credentials and Silva's poor takedown defense (73%). Silva's recent losses at middleweight indicate declining durability.

GPT
HyunSung Park by Decision, 74% confidence

HyunSung Park displays superior defensive metrics, notably a much higher striking defense (59% vs. 41%) and a positive strike differential, while Bruno Silva absorbs significantly more damage than he dishes out. Park's perfect takedown defense (100%) and higher submission average (2.6 per fight) give him the grappling edge, and his consistent striking volume matches Silva's output but with greater efficiency. Silva's main advantages are physical (reach, slight height), but he is unlikely to capitalize given Park's defensive prowess and well-rounded skill set.