Bruno Silva vs HyunSung Park
Flyweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Park's perfect takedown defense (100%) and massive submission threat (2.6 sub avg) create a nightmare matchup for Silva. Silva's erratic weight cutting between middleweight and flyweight (2 weight class changes) suggests severe depletion issues. Park's 8-inch reach disadvantage is mitigated by his superior grappling credentials and Silva's poor takedown defense (73%). Silva's recent losses at middleweight indicate declining durability.
HyunSung Park displays superior defensive metrics, notably a much higher striking defense (59% vs. 41%) and a positive strike differential, while Bruno Silva absorbs significantly more damage than he dishes out. Park's perfect takedown defense (100%) and higher submission average (2.6 per fight) give him the grappling edge, and his consistent striking volume matches Silva's output but with greater efficiency. Silva's main advantages are physical (reach, slight height), but he is unlikely to capitalize given Park's defensive prowess and well-rounded skill set.