Fight Genie logo Fight Genie
Back
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. AllenMiddleweightMain card
Reinier de Ridder
Reinier de
Ridder
2-1UFC
35 yrsElo 1532
VS
Brendan AllenWINNER
Brendan
Allen
13-4UFC
29 yrsElo 1653
Final: Brendan Allen by KO/TKO
Who wins
Claude
75%
Allen
GPT
65%
Ridder
Elo
67%
Allen
1532 vs 1653
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'4" Height 6'2"
78" Reach 75"
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
2.47 Landed / min 3.75
2.36 Absorbed / minlower better 3.78
48% Strike accuracy 52%
46% Strike defense 47%
2.56 Takedowns / 15 1.52
29% TD accuracy 41%
40% TD defense 57%
0.6 Subs / 15 1.1
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 15%Claude: Submission 55%Claude: Decision 30%
55%Submission
Claude calls Submission, Round 2
KO/TKO 15%Submission 55%Decision 30%
GPT: KO/TKO 5%GPT: Submission 65%GPT: Decision 30%
65%Submission
GPT calls Submission
KO/TKO 5%Submission 65%Decision 30%
Formnewest first
Reinier de Ridder168 days out
W
Bo Nickal
KO/TKO Knee · 2025-05-03
W
Kevin Holland
SUB Rear Naked Choke · 2025-01-18
L
win
· 2024-11-09
Brendan Allen91 days out
W
Marvin Vettori
U-DEC · 2025-07-19
L
Anthony Hernandez
U-DEC · 2025-02-22
W
Chris Curtis
S-DEC · 2024-04-06
L
Nassourdine Imavov
U-DEC · 2024-04-06
W
Paul Craig
SUB · 2023-11-18
Why
Claude
Brendan Allen
75% · Submission
  • Allen averages 1.3 submissions per fight with 39% takedown accuracy
  • De Ridder has zero UFC fights and no recorded striking/grappling metrics
  • Allen's 75-inch reach provides significant advantage in striking exchanges
  • Recent form shows Allen bouncing back from losses with submission wins
Write-up

Allen has established UFC experience with proven submission skills (1.3 subs per fight) while de Ridder makes his UFC debut with no recorded statistics. Allen's 75% win rate and recent submission victories over Paul Craig and Andre Muniz demonstrate elite grappling. De Ridder's ONE Championship pedigree is untested against UFC-caliber competition.

GPT
Reinier de Ridder
65% · Submission
  • Elite submission skills and high finish rate of de Ridder
  • Allen's moderate takedown defense and willingness to grapple
  • Allen's striking defense is below average, making scrambles likely
Write-up

Despite a lack of UFC stats, de Ridder is an elite grappler with a proven record in high-level MMA, particularly in submission grappling. Allen is well-rounded and dangerous on the ground, but his takedown defense (58%) and tendency to engage in grappling exchanges may play into de Ridder's strengths. Allen's striking volume is higher, but de Ridder's physicality and submission prowess give him the edge if the fight hits the mat.