Middleweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
FINAL: Yousri Belgaroui by KO/TKO Punches
Azamat Bekoev
Age 29 · Elo 1500*
W
168 days since last fight
vs
Yousri Belgaroui
Age 33 · Elo 1547*
No UFC fights on record
Who wins, by source
Azamat BekoevYousri Belgaroui
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Azamat BekoevYousri Belgaroui
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Yousri Belgaroui by KO/TKO, 68% confidence
Belgaroui's massive physical advantages (5-inch height, 7-inch reach) combined with proven UFC striking metrics give him a clear edge over the debuting Bekoev. With 4.43 SLPM and 60% accuracy, Belgaroui can utilize his range effectively. Bekoev's lack of UFC data and shorter reach make him vulnerable to Belgaroui's rangy striking attack.
GPT
Yousri Belgaroui by Decision, 75% confidence
Yousri Belgaroui holds a significant statistical advantage in striking volume, accuracy, and defense. His high significant strike rate (4.43 SLpM at 60% accuracy) and solid takedown defense (81%) suggest he can control the range and pace of the fight. Azamat Bekoev's lack of available UFC stats and unknown striking/grappling metrics create uncertainty, but barring a breakthrough performance, Belgaroui's superior output and experience in stand-up exchanges make him the likely winner.