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Azamat Bekoev vs Yousri Belgaroui

Middleweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen

FINAL: Yousri Belgaroui by KO/TKO Punches
Azamat Bekoev
Azamat Bekoev
Age 29 · Elo 1500*
W
168 days since last fight
vs
Yousri Belgaroui
Yousri Belgaroui
Age 33 · Elo 1547*
No UFC fights on record

Who wins, by source

Azamat BekoevYousri Belgaroui
Claude Claude: Azamat Bekoev 32% Claude: Yousri Belgaroui 68% 32% 68% GPT GPT: Azamat Bekoev 25% GPT: Yousri Belgaroui 75% 25% 75% Elo Elo: Azamat Bekoev 43% Elo: Yousri Belgaroui 57% 43% 57%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Azamat BekoevYousri Belgaroui
Strikes landed / min Azamat Bekoev Strikes landed / min: no data - Yousri Belgaroui Strikes landed / min: 6.10 6.10 Strikes absorbed / min Azamat Bekoev Strikes absorbed / min: no data - Yousri Belgaroui Strikes absorbed / min: 2.17 2.17 Striking accuracy Azamat Bekoev Striking accuracy: 0% 0% Yousri Belgaroui Striking accuracy: 64% 64% Striking defense Azamat Bekoev Striking defense: 0% 0% Yousri Belgaroui Striking defense: 63% 63% Takedowns / 15 min Azamat Bekoev Takedowns / 15 min: no data - Yousri Belgaroui Takedowns / 15 min: 0.29 0.29 Takedown defense Azamat Bekoev Takedown defense: 0% 0% Yousri Belgaroui Takedown defense: 66% 66% Sub attempts / 15 min Azamat Bekoev Sub attempts / 15 min: no data - Yousri Belgaroui Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 45% 45% Claude: Submission 10% 10% Claude: Decision 45% 45%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 25% 25% GPT: Submission 5% GPT: Decision 70% 70%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Yousri Belgaroui by KO/TKO, 68% confidence

Belgaroui's massive physical advantages (5-inch height, 7-inch reach) combined with proven UFC striking metrics give him a clear edge over the debuting Bekoev. With 4.43 SLPM and 60% accuracy, Belgaroui can utilize his range effectively. Bekoev's lack of UFC data and shorter reach make him vulnerable to Belgaroui's rangy striking attack.

GPT
Yousri Belgaroui by Decision, 75% confidence

Yousri Belgaroui holds a significant statistical advantage in striking volume, accuracy, and defense. His high significant strike rate (4.43 SLpM at 60% accuracy) and solid takedown defense (81%) suggest he can control the range and pace of the fight. Azamat Bekoev's lack of available UFC stats and unknown striking/grappling metrics create uncertainty, but barring a breakthrough performance, Belgaroui's superior output and experience in stand-up exchanges make him the likely winner.