Marlon Vera vs Aiemann Zahabi

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Despite a 3-fight losing streak, Vera faced elite competition (O'Malley, Sandhagen). His superior grappling threat (0.8 subs per fight vs 0 for Zahabi) and proven durability give him paths to victory. Zahabi's 71% striking defense is impressive but untested against Vera's diverse attack mixing leg kicks and clinch work.

Marlon Vera offers greater offensive volume, a proven ability to finish fights, and more diversity in striking and grappling. Zahabi is defensively sound and hard to finish, but Vera's pressure, switch stance attacks, and higher-level resume suggest he'll edge out rounds. Zahabi's low offensive output and poor takedown accuracy limit his upset potential.