Back
WINNER
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. AllenBantamweightMain card
Marlon
Vera
15-9UFC
VS
Aiemann
Zahabi
6-3UFC
Final: Aiemann Zahabi by S-DEC
Who wins
Vera winsevenZahabi wins
Elo 55% Vera
Claude 62% Vera
GPT 72% Vera
Claude
62%
Vera
GPT
72%
Vera
Elo
55%
Vera
1600 vs 1564
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
68"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
4.18
Landed / min
4.06
5.34
Absorbed / minlower better
4.06
47%
Strike accuracy
46%
50%
Strike defense
71%
0.47
Takedowns / 15
0.16
39%
TD accuracy
14%
71%
TD defense
83%
0.8
Subs / 15
n/a
How it ends
55%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 20%Submission 25%Decision 55%
65%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 20%Submission 15%Decision 65%
Formnewest first
Marlon Vera587 days out
L
Sean O'Malley
U-DEC · 2024-03-09
L
Deiveson Figueiredo
U-DEC · 2024-02-24
W
Pedro Munhoz
U-DEC · 2023-08-19
L
Cory Sandhagen
S-DEC · 2023-03-25
W
Dominick Cruz
KO/TKO · 2022-08-13
Aiemann Zahabi161 days out
W
Jose Aldo
U-DEC · 2025-05-10
L
win
· 2024-11-02
W
Javid Basharat
U-DEC · 2024-03-02
W
Aoriqileng
KO/TKO · 2023-06-10
W
Ricky Turcios
U-DEC · 2022-07-09
Why
Claude
Marlon Vera
62% · Decision
- Vera's 0.51 takedowns per fight vs Zahabi's weak 14% takedown accuracy
- Experience gap: Vera has faced championship-level competition
- Zahabi's 401.8 days average between fights suggests activity issues
- Vera's switch stance creates defensive puzzles for orthodox Zahabi
Write-up
Despite a 3-fight losing streak, Vera faced elite competition (O'Malley, Sandhagen). His superior grappling threat (0.8 subs per fight vs 0 for Zahabi) and proven durability give him paths to victory. Zahabi's 71% striking defense is impressive but untested against Vera's diverse attack mixing leg kicks and clinch work.
GPT
Marlon Vera
72% · Decision
- Vera's superior striking volume (4.27 SLPM vs 4.06 SLPM)
- Vera's submission threat and grappling versatility
- Zahabi's strong defense (71% StrDef, 83% TDDef) but low output
Write-up
Marlon Vera offers greater offensive volume, a proven ability to finish fights, and more diversity in striking and grappling. Zahabi is defensively sound and hard to finish, but Vera's pressure, switch stance attacks, and higher-level resume suggest he'll edge out rounds. Zahabi's low offensive output and poor takedown accuracy limit his upset potential.