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UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. SongFeatherweightMain card
Jean SilvaWINNER
Jean
Silva
3-0UFC
47 yrsElo 1627
VS
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Melsik
Baghdasaryan
3-1UFC
33 yrsElo 1512
Final: Jean Silva by KO/TKO Punch
Who wins
Claude
65%
Baghdasaryan
GPT
75%
Silva
Elo
66%
Silva
1627 vs 1512
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'7" Height 5'9"
n/a Reach 70"
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
0.73 Landed / min 5.28
2.93 Absorbed / minlower better 3.06
22% Strike accuracy 61%
52% Strike defense 58%
0.81 Takedowns / 15 0.00
0% TD accuracy 0%
0% TD defense 72%
0.0 Subs / 15 0.0
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 55%Claude: Submission 10%Claude: Decision 35%
55%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 55%Submission 10%Decision 35%
GPT: KO/TKO 80%GPT: Submission 0%GPT: Decision 20%
80%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO, Round 3
KO/TKO 80%Submission 0%Decision 20%
Formnewest first
Jean Silva385 days out
W
Drew Dober
KO/TKO · 2024-02-03
W
Charles Jourdain
KO/TKO · 2024-01-27
W
Westin Wilson
KO/TKO · 2024-01-13
Melsik Baghdasaryan588 days out
W
Tucker Lutz
U-DEC · 2023-07-15
L
Josh Culibao
SUB · 2023-02-11
W
Bruno Souza
U-DEC · 2021-11-06
W
Collin Anglin
KO/TKO · 2021-07-31
Why
Claude
Melsik Baghdasaryan
65% · KO/TKO
  • Baghdasaryan's +2.22 striking differential vs Silva's +0.94
  • 2-inch height advantage and southpaw vs orthodox creates challenging angles
  • Silva's recent activity (5 fights in 3 months) may impact durability
  • Baghdasaryan's 61% striking accuracy with lower absorption rate indicates cleaner technical striking
Write-up

Baghdasaryan's superior striking accuracy (61% vs 52%) combined with his southpaw stance and reach advantage creates favorable striking angles. Silva's higher strike absorption rate (4.43 vs 3.06) suggests vulnerability to Baghdasaryan's power shots. While Silva shows better grappling metrics, Baghdasaryan's 72% takedown defense should keep the fight standing where he holds technical advantages.

GPT
Jean Silva
75% · KO/TKO
  • Jean Silva's high striking volume and accuracy
  • Baghdasaryan's lower defensive rate
  • Silva's superior takedown defense
  • Silva's upward form trend and consistency
Write-up

Jean Silva has a solid striking volume with 5.37 SLpM and 52% accuracy, coupled with his ability to defend against strikes at a rate of 57%. Baghdasaryan's lower defensive rate of 58% could be exploited by Silva's superior striking volume. While both fighters have similar styles and prefer knockouts, Silva's recent form shows an upward trend with high consistency, all wins by KO/TKO, indicating his power. He also has a better takedown defense at 80%, providing him a significant advantage in grappling.