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UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. SongBantamweightPrelims
Ricky SimonWINNER
Ricky
Simon
8-5UFC
32 yrsElo 1541
VS
Javid Basharat
Javid
Basharat
4-1UFC
29 yrsElo 1539
Final: Ricky Simon by KO/TKO Punch
Who wins
Claude
75%
Basharat
GPT
70%
Basharat
Elo
50%
Simon
1541 vs 1539
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'6" Height 5'9"
69" Reach 69"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
2.99 Landed / min 5.42
3.84 Absorbed / minlower better 2.97
43% Strike accuracy 53%
61% Strike defense 62%
5.20 Takedowns / 15 1.70
44% TD accuracy 40%
75% TD defense 85%
0.3 Subs / 15 0.2
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 25%Claude: Submission 15%Claude: Decision 60%
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 15%Decision 60%
GPT: KO/TKO 30%GPT: Submission 10%GPT: Decision 60%
60%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 30%Submission 10%Decision 60%
Formnewest first
Ricky Simon392 days out
L
Vinicius Oliveira
U-DEC · 2024-01-27
L
Mario Bautista
U-DEC · 2024-01-13
L
Song Yadong
KO/TKO · 2023-04-29
W
Jack Shore
SUB · 2022-07-16
W
Raphael Assuncao
KO/TKO · 2021-12-18
Javid Basharat357 days out
L
Aiemann Zahabi
U-DEC · 2024-03-02
W
Victor Henry
CNC · 2023-10-21
W
Mateus Mendonca
U-DEC · 2023-01-14
W
Tony Gravely
U-DEC · 2022-09-17
W
Trevin Jones
U-DEC · 2022-03-12
Why
Claude
Javid Basharat
75% · Decision
  • Basharat's +2.45 strike differential vs Simon's -0.85 indicates striking dominance
  • Simon's wrestling advantage (5.2 vs 1.7 TDs) likely neutralized by Basharat's 85% TDD
  • 3-inch height advantage for Basharat creates favorable striking range
  • Simon's declining form (4 straight losses) vs Basharat's 80% win rate
Write-up

Basharat's superior striking metrics (5.42 vs 2.99 SLPM) combined with 85% TDD neutralizes Simon's wrestling. Simon's recent 4-fight losing streak vs Basharat's upward momentum and height advantage creates clear path to victory.

GPT
Javid Basharat
70% · Decision
  • Basharat's superior striking volume and accuracy
  • Simon's recent form and downward trend
  • Basharat's strong takedown defense
  • Simon's potential grappling advantage
Write-up

Basharat's superior striking volume, accuracy, and defensive metrics give him a clear advantage in the stand-up phase. While Simon has a slight advantage in grappling, his recent form and downward trend suggest that he may struggle to capitalize on it. Basharat's strong takedown defense further compounds this issue.