Back
WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. SongLight HeavyweightPrelims
Ion
Cutelaba
8-9UFC
VS
Ibo
Aslan
1-0UFC
Final: Ion Cutelaba by SUB Arm Triangle
Who wins
Cutelaba winsevenAslan wins
GPT 70% Aslan
Claude 65% Aslan
Elo 56% Cutelaba
Claude
65%
Aslan
GPT
70%
Aslan
Elo
56%
Cutelaba
1511 vs 1472
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'1"
Height
6'3"
75"
Reach
77"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
4.30
Landed / min
8.34
3.38
Absorbed / minlower better
4.34
43%
Strike accuracy
50%
46%
Strike defense
64%
4.17
Takedowns / 15
n/a
52%
TD accuracy
0%
75%
TD defense
100%
0.1
Subs / 15
n/a
Small sample: Ibo Aslan, 1 UFC fight.
How it ends
55%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 55%Submission 10%Decision 35%
60%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO, Round 3
KO/TKO 60%Submission 10%Decision 30%
Formnewest first
Ion Cutelaba322 days out
W
Ivan Erslan
S-DEC · 2024-04-06
L
Philipe Lins
U-DEC · 2024-03-09
W
Tanner Boser
KO/TKO · 2023-04-15
L
Kennedy Nzechukwu
KO/TKO · 2022-11-19
L
Johnny Walker
SUB · 2022-09-10
Ibo Aslan329 days out
W
Anton Turkalj
KO/TKO · 2024-03-30
Why
Claude
Ibo Aslan
65% · KO/TKO
- 8.34 vs 4.29 SLPM differential favors Aslan
- 64% striking defense vs Cutelaba's 46%
- 2-inch height and reach advantage for Aslan
- Cutelaba's declining durability in recent fights
Write-up
Aslan's superior striking metrics (8.34 SLPM vs 4.29) and better defensive stats (64% vs 46%) suggest he can exploit Cutelaba's aggressive style. Recent form and 100% TDD indicate strong development trajectory.
GPT
Ibo Aslan
70% · KO/TKO
- Aslan's striking volume and accuracy
- Aslan's perfect takedown defense
- Cutelaba's takedown accuracy and grappling advantage
- Cutelaba's recent form and Aslan's KO win
Write-up
Aslan's significant striking volume and accuracy, coupled with his perfect takedown defense, give him a significant advantage over Cutelaba. Despite Cutelaba's slight advantage in takedown accuracy and grappling, Aslan's striking differential and defensive efficiency seem to outweigh these factors. Cutelaba's recent form shows a moderate upward trend, but Aslan's KO win in his last fight shows promise.