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UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. SongBantamweightMain card
Henry Cejudo
Henry
Cejudo
10-4UFC
38 yrsElo 1587
VS
Song YadongWINNER
Song
Yadong
10-4UFC
27 yrsElo 1635
Final: Song Yadong by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
65%
Yadong
GPT
60%
Yadong
Elo
57%
Yadong
1587 vs 1635
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'4" Height 5'8"
64" Reach 67"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
3.77 Landed / min 4.34
3.29 Absorbed / minlower better 3.81
46% Strike accuracy 43%
60% Strike defense 55%
1.99 Takedowns / 15 0.82
32% TD accuracy 41%
75% TD defense 73%
0.2 Subs / 15 0.2
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 25%Claude: Submission 5%Claude: Decision 70%
70%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 5%Decision 70%
GPT: KO/TKO 60%GPT: Submission 10%GPT: Decision 30%
60%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO, Round 3
KO/TKO 60%Submission 10%Decision 30%
Formnewest first
Henry Cejudo371 days out
L
Merab Dvalishvili
U-DEC · 2024-02-17
L
Aljamain Sterling
S-DEC · 2023-05-06
W
Dominick Cruz
KO/TKO · 2020-05-09
W
Marlon Moraes
KO/TKO · 2019-06-08
W
TJ Dillashaw
KO/TKO · 2019-01-19
Song Yadong350 days out
L
Petr Yan
U-DEC · 2024-03-09
W
Chris Gutierrez
U-DEC · 2023-12-09
W
Ricky Simon
KO/TKO · 2023-04-29
L
Cory Sandhagen
KO/TKO · 2022-09-17
W
Marlon Moraes
KO/TKO · 2022-03-12
Why
Claude
Song Yadong
65% · Decision
  • Song's +0.53 striking differential vs Cejudo's +0.48
  • Song's 3" reach advantage and superior height will control distance
  • Cejudo's declining takedown accuracy (32%) vs Song's 72% TDD
  • Age gap of 10 years and Song's superior recent activity
Write-up

Song's superior striking volume (4.49 vs 3.77 SLPM) and youth advantage should be decisive against a declining Cejudo. Song's 72% takedown defense can neutralize Cejudo's wrestling, while his reach advantage and more active striking pace will accumulate damage over 5 rounds.

GPT
Song Yadong
60% · KO/TKO
  • Song Yadong's higher striking volume and accuracy
  • Henry Cejudo's recent losses and mixed performance trend
  • Song Yadong's better striking differential indicating superior stand-up game
Write-up

Song Yadong has a higher striking volume (4.49 SLPM) compared to Henry Cejudo's (3.77 SLPM). Yadong also has a better striking differential (0.53) compared to Cejudo's (0.48), indicating that he tends to outstrike his opponents. While both fighters have similar grappling stats, Yadong's recent form shows a moderate upward trend, which might give him the edge in this fight.