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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. SongCatch WeightPrelims
Nikolay
Veretennikov
0-1UFC
VS
Austin
Vanderford
Final: Austin Vanderford by KO/TKO Punches
Who wins
Veretennikov winsevenVanderford wins
GPT 70% Vanderford
Elo 51% Vanderford
Claude 60% Veretennikov
Claude
60%
Veretennikov
GPT
70%
Vanderford
Elo
51%
Vanderford
1488 vs 1495
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'1"
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.40
Landed / min
3.90
3.33
Absorbed / minlower better
5.19
59%
Strike accuracy
52%
54%
Strike defense
45%
0%
TD accuracy
0%
60%
TD defense
100%
n/a
Subs / 15
1.9
Small sample: Nikolay Veretennikov, 1 UFC fight; Austin Vanderford, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 30%Submission 10%Decision 60%
70%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 10%Submission 20%Decision 70%
Formnewest first
Nikolay Veretennikov357 days out
L
Danny Barlow
S-DEC · 2024-03-02
Austin Vanderford
No UFC fights
Why
Claude
Nikolay Veretennikov
60% · Decision
- Veretennikov's 2-inch height and 1-inch reach advantage creates striking leverage
- 59% strike accuracy vs Vanderford's 45% defense indicates clear striking advantage
- Vanderford's high strike absorption (5.19 per minute) suggests vulnerability
- Veretennikov's 60% TDD sufficient to keep fight standing against Vanderford
Write-up
Veretennikov's superior striking defense (54% vs 45%) and height/reach advantages create favorable striking exchanges. Vanderford's poor strike absorption (5.19 SApM) likely leads to accumulated damage.
GPT
Austin Vanderford
70% · Decision
- Vanderford's superior striking volume and grappling control
- Veretennikov's downward trend in recent form
- Vanderford's perfect takedown defense rate of 100%
- Veretennikov's significant disadvantage in grappling
Write-up
Despite Veretennikov's advantage in striking accuracy and defense, Vanderford has shown superior grappling control, submission threat and overall striking volume. Veretennikov's recent form is also concerning with consecutive losses.