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UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. SongMiddleweightMain card
Brendan Allen
Brendan
Allen
12-3UFC
29 yrsElo 1653
VS
Anthony HernandezWINNER
Anthony
Hernandez
7-2UFC
31 yrsElo 1600
Final: Anthony Hernandez by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
70%
Hernandez
GPT
65%
Hernandez
Elo
58%
Allen
1653 vs 1600
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'2" Height 6'0"
75" Reach 75"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
3.75 Landed / min 4.57
3.78 Absorbed / minlower better 3.10
52% Strike accuracy 60%
47% Strike defense 51%
1.52 Takedowns / 15 5.88
41% TD accuracy 48%
57% TD defense 68%
1.1 Subs / 15 1.6
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 45%Claude: Submission 25%Claude: Decision 30%
45%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 3
KO/TKO 45%Submission 25%Decision 30%
GPT: KO/TKO 35%GPT: Submission 50%GPT: Decision 15%
50%Submission
GPT calls Submission, Round 2
KO/TKO 35%Submission 50%Decision 15%
Formnewest first
Brendan Allen322 days out
W
Chris Curtis
S-DEC · 2024-04-06
L
Nassourdine Imavov
U-DEC · 2024-04-06
W
Paul Craig
SUB · 2023-11-18
W
Bruno Silva
SUB · 2023-06-24
W
Andre Muniz
SUB · 2023-02-25
Anthony Hernandez301 days out
W
Michel Pereira
KO/TKO · 2024-04-27
W
Roman Kopylov
SUB · 2024-02-17
W
Edmen Shahbazyan
KO/TKO · 2023-05-20
W
Marc-Andre Barriault
SUB · 2022-09-17
W
Josh Fremd
U-DEC · 2022-04-09
Why
Claude
Anthony Hernandez
70% · KO/TKO
  • Hernandez's +2.02 striking differential vs Allen's -0.04
  • Hernandez's 6.64 takedowns per fight vs Allen's 58% TDD
  • Hernandez's 5-fight win streak with 4 finishes
  • Superior cardio metrics and pressure fighting style
Write-up

Hernandez's superior striking accuracy (63% vs 53%) and overwhelming wrestling pressure (6.64 TDs per fight) present multiple paths to victory. His recent form shows finishing ability while Allen has shown defensive vulnerabilities.

GPT
Anthony Hernandez
65% · Submission
  • Anthony Hernandez's superior striking volume and accuracy
  • Hernandez's higher takedown average indicating better ground control
  • Hernandez's higher submission average indicating a significant threat on the ground
Write-up

Anthony Hernandez displays a higher striking volume (4.9 SLPM) than Brendan Allen (3.79 SLPM) and is a more accurate striker (63% vs 53%). He also has superior grappling stats, with a higher takedown average (6.64 vs 1.67) and submission average (2.3 vs 1.3). Given his recent strong upward trend and high submission rate, Hernandez is likely to secure a submission victory.