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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. MoralesLightweightMain card
Sodiq Yusuff
Sodiq
Yusuff
6-3UFC
31 yrsElo 1552
VS
Mairon SantosWINNER
Mairon
Santos
2-0UFC
24 yrsElo 1588*
Final: Mairon Santos by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
65%
Santos
GPT
65%
Yusuff
Elo
55%
Santos
1552 vs 1588
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'9" Height 5'7"
71" Reach 72"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
5.66 Landed / min 4.77
4.51 Absorbed / minlower better 1.85
49% Strike accuracy 46%
53% Strike defense 57%
0.28 Takedowns / 15 0.00
20% TD accuracy 0%
62% TD defense 0%
0.4 Subs / 15 0.0
Small sample: Mairon Santos, 2 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 60%Claude: Submission 5%Claude: Decision 35%
60%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 60%Submission 5%Decision 35%
GPT: KO/TKO 20%GPT: Submission 10%GPT: Decision 70%
70%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 20%Submission 10%Decision 70%
Formnewest first
Sodiq Yusuff399 days out
L
Diego Lopes
KO/TKO · 2024-04-13
L
Edson Barboza
U-DEC · 2023-10-14
W
Don Shainis
SUB · 2022-10-01
W
Alex Caceres
U-DEC · 2022-03-12
L
Arnold Allen
U-DEC · 2021-04-10
Mairon Santos69 days out
W
Francis Marshall
S-DEC · 2025-03-08
W
Kaan Ofli
KO/TKO · 2024-03-16
Why
Claude
Mairon Santos
65% · KO/TKO
  • Santos' superior strike differential (+2.92 vs +1.15) and defensive metrics
  • Yusuff's concerning two-fight losing streak including a recent KO loss
  • Santos' explosive finishing ability demonstrated in his UFC debut
  • 7-year age gap with Yusuff showing signs of declining durability
Write-up

Santos represents a dangerous matchup for Yusuff despite being the less experienced UFC fighter. Yusuff enters on a two-fight losing streak, most recently suffering a devastating KO loss to Edson Barboza. Santos has shown exceptional striking efficiency in his UFC debut, maintaining a +2.92 strike differential compared to Yusuff's +1.15. While Yusuff has the higher volume (5.66 vs 4.77 SLPM), Santos' superior defense (57% vs 53%) and counter-striking ability make him the more effective striker. Yusuff's grappling advantage is minimal with only 0.28 takedowns per fight at 20% accuracy. Santos has demonstrated explosive finishing ability with a KO win in his UFC debut, while Yusuff has shown increasing vulnerability to strikes. The age difference (Santos is 7 years younger) further tilts this matchup in Santos' favor as Yusuff appears to be declining physically.

GPT
Sodiq Yusuff
65% · Decision
  • Striking Accuracy
  • Takedown Accuracy
  • Striking Volume
Write-up

Based on the analysis, Yusuff has a higher StrAcc, StrDef, TDAcc, and TDDef than Santos. Furthermore, Yusuff's striking volume is higher and he has proven to be more successful in grappling. However, Santos does have a higher StrDef, indicating a good defensive strategy.