Luana Santos vs Tainara Lisboa

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Santos brings superior striking volume (4.28 SLPM vs Lisboa's 2.05) and better defensive metrics (61% strike defense vs Lisboa's 54%). While Lisboa has a positive striking differential (0.65), Santos's higher volume and better defense should allow her to control the striking exchanges. Santos also has a higher submission rate (1.2 vs 0.5), giving her an additional path to victory if the fight hits the ground. Lisboa's takedown average (2.05) is higher than Santos's (1.62), but Santos's superior takedown defense (80% vs Lisboa's 70%) should neutralize this advantage. Santos's recent form shows improvement with 2 submission wins in her last 5 fights, demonstrating her evolving skillset.

Luana Santos has a higher striking volume, better striking and takedown defense which gives her an edge in this fight. Even though Tainara Lisboa has an undefeated record, she has lower striking volume and lower defensive efficiency.