Gordon presents a significant volume advantage (5.75 SLPM vs Moises' 2.39) and superior striking accuracy (55% vs 40%), which should allow him to consistently outpoint Moises on the feet. While Moises has a submission threat (1.3 submissions per fight vs Gordon's 0), Gordon's 62% takedown defense should help neutralize Moises' grappling. Gordon's positive strike differential (+1.78) contrasts sharply with Moises' negative differential (-1.75), indicating Gordon's ability to control striking exchanges. The common opponent analysis favors Moises (who defeated Bobby Green while Gordon lost), but stylistically Gordon's pressure-based approach and volume striking matches up well against Moises' more methodical style. Gordon's cardio and pace should allow him to maintain offensive output throughout the fight, while his defensive wrestling should prevent Moises from implementing his submission game effectively.

Gordon's higher striking volume and takedown defense are likely to give him an edge in this fight. Moises, while having a higher submission average, might struggle to take Gordon down. The common opponent analysis also doesn't favor Moises as he has performed worse against shared opponents.