Dustin Stoltzfus vs Nursulton Ruziboev

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Ruziboev holds a significant physical advantage with a 5-inch height advantage and superior striking power. Stoltzfus has struggled defensively, absorbing 3.4 strikes per minute with only 47% defense, making him vulnerable to Ruziboev's power. While Stoltzfus has better grappling credentials (2.45 TD avg vs 0.77), Ruziboev's 100% TD accuracy suggests quality over quantity. Critically, Ruziboev has demonstrated superior performance against common opponent Brunno Ferreira, defeating him while Stoltzfus was knocked out. Stoltzfus' recent form is concerning with 3 losses in his last 5 fights, including 2 by KO/TKO, showing vulnerability to power strikers like Ruziboev.

Ruziboev has a higher win rate, better performance against common opponents, and superior striking defense. Although Stoltzfus has a higher takedown average, Ruziboev has a perfect takedown accuracy which might neutralize Stoltzfus's advantage.