Elise Reed vs Denise Gomes

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Gomes demonstrates significantly higher striking volume (4.48 SLPM vs Reed's 3.5) and a better striking differential (+1.36 vs Reed's +0.35). While Reed has slightly better striking accuracy (53% vs 49%), Gomes's volume advantage should allow her to outpoint Reed over three rounds. Gomes also possesses superior grappling metrics with higher takedown average (0.88 vs 0.49) and submission threat (0.9 vs 0), giving her multiple paths to victory. Reed's takedown defense (56%) is significantly lower than Gomes's (66%), suggesting vulnerability to Gomes's grappling. Their common opponent analysis against Loma Lookboonmee shows both lost, but Reed was submitted while Gomes lost by decision, indicating Reed's greater vulnerability to grappling.

Denise Gomes has the edge in terms of striking volume and takedown average. Though her striking accuracy is slightly lower than Elise Reed, her significantly higher strike volume should make up for this. Her takedown average is also higher, and her takedown defense is significantly better than Reed's, which could be key in a fight that may involve a lot of grappling.