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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. MalottMiddleweightPrelims
Julien
Leblanc
VS
Robert
Valentin
0-3UFC
Final: Robert Valentin by SUB Rear Naked Choke
Who wins
Leblanc winsevenValentin wins
GPT 61% Valentin
Elo 52% Valentin
GPT
61%
Valentin
Elo
52%
Valentin
1450 vs 1466
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'2"
Height
6'2"
74"
Reach
77"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
n/a
Landed / min
0.15
n/a
Absorbed / minlower better
6.16
0%
Strike accuracy
50%
0%
Strike defense
19%
n/a
Takedowns / 15
0.00
0%
TD accuracy
0%
0%
TD defense
66%
n/a
Subs / 15
4.4
Small sample: Julien Leblanc, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
47%Submission
GPT calls Submission
KO/TKO 18%Submission 47%Decision 35%
Formnewest first
Julien Leblanc
No UFC fights
Robert Valentin273 days out
L
Ateba Gautier
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-07-19
L
Torrez Finney
S-DEC · 2025-04-05
L
Ryan Loder
KO/TKO · 2024-03-16
Why
GPT
Robert Valentin
61% · Submission
- Valentin's extremely high submission attempts per 15 minutes (4.4) indicates a very aggressive grappling approach that can punish inexperienced or untested UFC debutants.
- Leblanc has no UFC statistical sample, so his defensive metrics, especially submission defense and ability to stay safe in scrambles, are unknown at this level, increasing variance but favoring the fighter with a demonstrated submission game.
- Valentin's striking defense and absorbed-strikes numbers are poor, making extended, clean striking minutes risky for him; this incentivizes him to force grappling exchanges where his statistical edge is largest, raising the likelihood of a sub over a prolonged decision.
Write-up
Despite a rough defensive profile and small UFC sample, Valentin's proven willingness and ability to attack submissions (4.4 SubAvg, strong grappling emphasis) is a tangible data edge against a debuting Leblanc with no UFC stats. With limited information on Leblanc's grappling defense and Valentin's southpaw submission-oriented style, the most evidence-backed outcome is Valentin creating scrambles or clinch exchanges and finding a finish on the mat rather than winning a clean, low-damage decision.