Middleweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
FINAL: Robert Valentin by SUB Rear Naked Choke
Julien Leblanc
Age 34 · Elo 1472*
No UFC fights on record
vs
Robert Valentin
Age 31 · Elo 1466*
LLL
273 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Julien LeblancRobert Valentin
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Julien LeblancRobert Valentin
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
GPT
Robert Valentin by Submission, 61% confidence
Despite a rough defensive profile and small UFC sample, Valentin's proven willingness and ability to attack submissions (4.4 SubAvg, strong grappling emphasis) is a tangible data edge against a debuting Leblanc with no UFC stats. With limited information on Leblanc's grappling defense and Valentin's southpaw submission-oriented style, the most evidence-backed outcome is Valentin creating scrambles or clinch exchanges and finding a finish on the mat rather than winning a clean, low-damage decision.