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Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin

Middleweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott

FINAL: Robert Valentin by SUB Rear Naked Choke
Julien Leblanc
Julien Leblanc
Age 34 · Elo 1472*
No UFC fights on record
vs
Robert Valentin
Robert Valentin
Age 31 · Elo 1466*
LLL
273 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Julien LeblancRobert Valentin
GPT GPT: Julien Leblanc 39% GPT: Robert Valentin 61% 39% 61% Elo Elo: Julien Leblanc 51% Elo: Robert Valentin 49% 51% 49%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Julien LeblancRobert Valentin
Strikes landed / min Julien Leblanc Strikes landed / min: no data - Robert Valentin Strikes landed / min: 0.15 0.15 Strikes absorbed / min Julien Leblanc Strikes absorbed / min: no data - Robert Valentin Strikes absorbed / min: 6.16 6.16 Striking accuracy Julien Leblanc Striking accuracy: 0% 0% Robert Valentin Striking accuracy: 50% 50% Striking defense Julien Leblanc Striking defense: 0% 0% Robert Valentin Striking defense: 19% 19% Takedowns / 15 min Julien Leblanc Takedowns / 15 min: no data - Robert Valentin Takedowns / 15 min: 0.00 0.00 Takedown defense Julien Leblanc Takedown defense: 0% 0% Robert Valentin Takedown defense: 66% 66% Sub attempts / 15 min Julien Leblanc Sub attempts / 15 min: no data - Robert Valentin Sub attempts / 15 min: 4.4 4.4

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 18% 18% GPT: Submission 47% 47% GPT: Decision 35% 35%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Robert Valentin by Submission, 61% confidence

Despite a rough defensive profile and small UFC sample, Valentin's proven willingness and ability to attack submissions (4.4 SubAvg, strong grappling emphasis) is a tangible data edge against a debuting Leblanc with no UFC stats. With limited information on Leblanc's grappling defense and Valentin's southpaw submission-oriented style, the most evidence-backed outcome is Valentin creating scrambles or clinch exchanges and finding a finish on the mat rather than winning a clean, low-damage decision.