Women's Flyweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
FINAL: Jasmine Jasudavicius by U-DEC
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Age 37 · Elo 1563
LWWLW
182 days since last fight
vs
Karine Silva
Age 32 · Elo 1551
LWLWW
132 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Jasmine JasudaviciusKarine Silva
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Jasmine JasudaviciusKarine Silva
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
GPT
Karine Silva by Submission, 69% confidence
Silva's finishing-oriented grappling, elite 72% takedown accuracy, and 2.2 subs per 15 minutes pose a serious threat to a wrestler/grappler like Jasudavicius who often accepts grappling exchanges. While Jasmine has a slight volume edge on the feet and solid 75% takedown defense, her style of clinching and wrestling to win minutes plays directly into Silva's submission game. Over three rounds, the likelihood that Silva finds a neck or limb off a scramble, reactive shot, or clinch entry is higher than Jasudavicius being able to safely control and grind her out without getting caught.