Fight Genie logo Fight Genie
Back
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. MalottWomen's FlyweightPrelims
JJ AldrichWINNER
JJ
Aldrich
10-6UFC
33 yrsElo 1538
VS
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Jamey-Lyn
Horth
3-3UFC
36 yrsElo 1495
Final: JJ Aldrich by U-DEC
Who wins
GPT
64%
Horth
Elo
56%
Aldrich
1538 vs 1495
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'5" Height 5'7"
67" Reach 66"
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
3.92 Landed / min 3.80
4.34 Absorbed / minlower better 2.64
46% Strike accuracy 47%
61% Strike defense 63%
0.70 Takedowns / 15 0.98
25% TD accuracy 42%
67% TD defense 80%
0.0 Subs / 15 0.2
How it ends
GPT: KO/TKO 14%GPT: Submission 8%GPT: Decision 78%
78%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 14%Submission 8%Decision 78%
Formnewest first
JJ Aldrich412 days out
W
Andrea Lee
U-DEC · 2025-03-01
L
Veronica Hardy
U-DEC · 2023-12-16
W
Montana De La Rosa
U-DEC · 2023-10-07
W
Liang Na
KO/TKO · 2023-08-26
L
Ariane da Silva
U-DEC · 2023-03-11
Jamey-Lyn Horth125 days out
W
Tereza Bleda
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-12-13
W
Vanessa Demopoulos
U-DEC · 2025-06-14
L
Miranda Maverick
U-DEC · 2024-12-14
L
win
· 2024-11-02
L
Veronica Hardy
S-DEC · 2023-12-02
Why
GPT
Jamey-Lyn Horth
64% · Decision
  • Striking efficiency edge for Horth: 56% accuracy and a positive differential vs Aldrich's 46% and negative differential
  • Grappling advantage: Horth attempts and lands more takedowns at better accuracy with slightly better TD defense (68% vs 66%)
  • Aldrich's durability and defensive responsibility (60% striking defense) make a finish less likely, pushing this toward a decision
Write-up

Horth's superior striking accuracy (+10 percentage points), positive strike differential (+0.38 vs Aldrich's -0.50), and higher takedown output with better accuracy (1.0 TDs/fight at 37% vs 0.66 at 23%) point to more efficient round-winning tools over three rounds. Aldrich is durable and historically hard to finish, but her negative strike differential and lower offensive efficiency suggest she'll be slightly outworked in both the striking and clinch/wrestling phases, especially with Horth's small physical and wrestling edge.