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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. MalottWelterweightMain card
Gilbert
Burns
15-9UFC
VS
Mike
Malott
5-2UFC
Final: Mike Malott by KO/TKO Punches
Who wins
Burns winsevenMalott wins
Elo 54% Malott
GPT 72% Burns
GPT
72%
Burns
Elo
54%
Malott
1566 vs 1591
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'10"
Height
6'1"
71"
Reach
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.17
Landed / min
4.02
3.57
Absorbed / minlower better
3.09
48%
Strike accuracy
48%
52%
Strike defense
56%
2.10
Takedowns / 15
1.63
37%
TD accuracy
50%
53%
TD defense
57%
0.5
Subs / 15
0.7
How it ends
50%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 22%Submission 28%Decision 50%
Formnewest first
Gilbert Burns336 days out
L
Michael Morales
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-05-17
L
Sean Brady
U-DEC · 2024-03-23
L
Jack Della Maddalena
KO/TKO · 2024-03-09
L
Belal Muhammad
U-DEC · 2023-05-06
W
Jorge Masvidal
U-DEC · 2023-04-08
Mike Malott182 days out
W
Kevin Holland
U-DEC · 2025-10-18
W
Charles Radtke
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-05-10
L
win
· 2024-11-02
L
Neil Magny
KO/TKO · 2024-01-20
W
Adam Fugitt
SUB · 2023-06-10
Why
GPT
Gilbert Burns
72% · Decision
- Strength of schedule and experience edge: Burns has faced and beaten top-5 welterweights, while Malott's stats are inflated against lower-tier opposition.
- Grappling dynamics: Malott's low takedown defense is a red flag against a strong, pressure grappler like Burns, who can dictate where the fight happens and neutralize Malott's submission threats with superior positional awareness.
- Durability and five-round composure: Burns has repeatedly gone hard in long fights at the elite level, making him more likely to maintain output and decision-winning minutes if Malott cannot secure an early finish.
Write-up
Burns' championship-level experience, historically elite BJJ, and proven five-round durability offset Malott's small physical and volume edges. Malott's offensive wrestling and submission game are strong on paper, but his takedown defense (16%) and limited high-level opposition suggest he is unlikely to consistently out-grapple Burns or hold him down. Burns' superior strength of schedule, tighter defensive grappling, and ability to mix takedowns with power counters should allow him to control the higher-leverage moments and bank rounds, even if Malott has early success on the feet.