Dennis Buzukja vs Marcio Barbosa

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Barbosa's pace and output (8.27 SLpM at 47% accuracy) create a clear striking-volume edge over Buzukja, who is negative in strike differential and absorbs more than he lands. Buzukja's limited offensive wrestling (0.63 TDs per fight at 27% accuracy) is unlikely to consistently ground Barbosa, who has shown perfect takedown defense so far. Over three rounds, Barbosa's higher volume, slightly better defensive metrics, and ability to dictate a high-tempo kickboxing match favor him to out-land Buzukja and win rounds, though Buzukja's toughness and durability make a finish less likely.