Barbosa's pace and output (8.27 SLpM at 47% accuracy) create a clear striking-volume edge over Buzukja, who is negative in strike differential and absorbs more than he lands. Buzukja's limited offensive wrestling (0.63 TDs per fight at 27% accuracy) is unlikely to consistently ground Barbosa, who has shown perfect takedown defense so far. Over three rounds, Barbosa's higher volume, slightly better defensive metrics, and ability to dictate a high-tempo kickboxing match favor him to out-land Buzukja and win rounds, though Buzukja's toughness and durability make a finish less likely.