Bantamweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
FINAL: Charles Jourdain by U-DEC
Kyler Phillips
Age 30 · Elo 1547
LLWWW
273 days since last fight
vs
Charles Jourdain
Age 30 · Elo 1537
WLLLW
182 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Kyler PhillipsCharles Jourdain
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Kyler PhillipsCharles Jourdain
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
GPT
Kyler Phillips by Decision, 69% confidence
Phillips' higher striking defense, positive strike differential, and significantly stronger offensive and defensive wrestling profile give him more paths to win over three rounds. Jourdain throws slightly higher volume with better accuracy, but his porous takedown defense and higher damage intake (SApM) make him vulnerable to being grounded and outscored, especially given Phillips' 2.63 TDs per 15 minutes at 51% accuracy and 75% TD defense to keep the fight in favorable phases.