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Muslim Salikhov vs Uros Medic

Welterweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown

FINAL: Uros Medic by KO/TKO Punch
Muslim Salikhov
Muslim Salikhov
Age 41 · Elo 1530
LWLLW
350 days since last fight
vs
Uros Medic
Uros Medic
Age 32 · Elo 1564
WLWLW
91 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Muslim SalikhovUros Medic
Claude Claude: Muslim Salikhov 35% Claude: Uros Medic 65% 35% 65% GPT GPT: Muslim Salikhov 33% GPT: Uros Medic 67% 33% 67% Elo Elo: Muslim Salikhov 45% Elo: Uros Medic 55% 45% 55%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Muslim SalikhovUros Medic
Strikes landed / min Muslim Salikhov Strikes landed / min: 3.37 3.37 Uros Medic Strikes landed / min: 5.51 5.51 Strikes absorbed / min Muslim Salikhov Strikes absorbed / min: 2.96 2.96 Uros Medic Strikes absorbed / min: 3.18 3.18 Striking accuracy Muslim Salikhov Striking accuracy: 49% 49% Uros Medic Striking accuracy: 60% 60% Striking defense Muslim Salikhov Striking defense: 62% 62% Uros Medic Striking defense: 58% 58% Takedowns / 15 min Muslim Salikhov Takedowns / 15 min: 1.07 1.07 Uros Medic Takedowns / 15 min: 0.38 0.38 Takedown defense Muslim Salikhov Takedown defense: 72% 72% Uros Medic Takedown defense: 55% 55% Sub attempts / 15 min Muslim Salikhov Sub attempts / 15 min: no data - Uros Medic Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 55% 55% Claude: Submission 10% 10% Claude: Decision 35% 35%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 60% 60% GPT: Submission 5% GPT: Decision 35% 35%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Uros Medic by KO/TKO, 65% confidence

Medic's explosive striking (5.51 SLPM, 60% accuracy) and finishing ability create a dangerous matchup for the aging Salikhov. While Salikhov has shown improved durability with recent TKO wins, his defensive striking (63% vs 58%) won't be enough against Medic's volume and power. The southpaw vs orthodox dynamic favors Medic's left hand against Salikhov's open side. Medic's 4 TKO wins in 5 fights demonstrate consistent finishing ability. Salikhov's wrestling (1.12 TD/15min) could be a factor, but Medic has shown improved defensive wrestling recently. The 11-year age gap (40 vs 31) heavily favors Medic in a striking battle.

GPT
Uros Medic by KO/TKO, 67% confidence

Medic's significant striking volume (5.51 SLpM) and high accuracy (60%) present a substantial threat to Salikhov, who absorbs fewer but is less active. Medic's aggressive style and physical edge (height/reach) could overwhelm Salikhov, whose striking defense (63%) is solid but not elite. Salikhov's path is via counters or grappling, but Medic's output and power, combined with Salikhov's age and recent durability questions, favor a Medic stoppage.