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Josh Hokit vs Max Gimenis

Heavyweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown

FINAL: Josh Hokit by KO/TKO Punches
Josh Hokit
Josh Hokit
Age 27 · Elo 1572*
No UFC fights on record
vs
Max Gimenis
Max Gimenis
Age 32 · Elo 1476*
No UFC fights on record

Who wins, by source

Josh HokitMax Gimenis
Claude Claude: Josh Hokit 68% Claude: Max Gimenis 32% 68% 32% GPT GPT: Josh Hokit 80% GPT: Max Gimenis 20% 80% 20% Elo Elo: Josh Hokit 63% Elo: Max Gimenis 37% 63% 37%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Josh HokitMax Gimenis
Strikes landed / min Josh Hokit Strikes landed / min: 4.43 4.43 Max Gimenis Strikes landed / min: no data - Strikes absorbed / min Josh Hokit Strikes absorbed / min: 1.15 1.15 Max Gimenis Strikes absorbed / min: no data - Striking accuracy Josh Hokit Striking accuracy: 77% 77% Max Gimenis Striking accuracy: 0% 0% Striking defense Josh Hokit Striking defense: 56% 56% Max Gimenis Striking defense: 0% 0% Takedowns / 15 min Josh Hokit Takedowns / 15 min: 14.75 14.75 Max Gimenis Takedowns / 15 min: no data - Takedown defense Josh Hokit Takedown defense: 0% 0% Max Gimenis Takedown defense: 0% 0%

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 20% 20% Claude: Submission 25% 25% Claude: Decision 55% 55%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 15% 15% GPT: Submission 20% 20% GPT: Decision 65% 65%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Josh Hokit by Decision, 68% confidence

This matchup heavily favors Hokit due to Gimenis having zero UFC stats recorded - no striking metrics, no grappling data, and 0% accuracy across the board. Hokit shows solid fundamentals with 77% striking accuracy, 4.43 SLPM, and an exceptional 14.75 takedowns per fight. The 20-pound weight advantage for Gimenis (256 vs 236) is concerning, but without any proven skills or UFC experience, Hokit's wrestling-heavy approach (46% TD accuracy) should dominate. The style clash rating of 9.59 suggests a grappler vs unknown dynamic that favors the proven grappler.

GPT
Josh Hokit by Decision, 80% confidence

Josh Hokit displays overwhelming grappling metrics with 14.75 takedowns per fight and 77% striking accuracy, while Max Gimenis has no measurable UFC stats, indicating inexperience or lack of demonstrated effectiveness at this level. Hokit's wrestling volume and control should dominate against an opponent with no proven takedown defense or striking output.