Mayra Bueno Silva vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Cavalcanti's superior striking metrics and perfect recent form create a significant advantage. Her 6.02 SLPM vs Silva's 4.01, combined with much better striking defense (72% vs 52%) and a +2.8 striking differential compared to Silva's -0.99 presents a clear path to victory. Silva's 4-fight losing streak including 2 KO/TKO losses suggests declining durability. While Silva has submission threats (1.5 SubAvg), Cavalcanti's 90% TDD and superior distance management should neutralize the grappling.

Cavalcanti's significantly superior striking output (6.02 SLpM vs 4.01), better strike differential (+2.8 vs -0.99), and elite defensive metrics (72% striking defense, 90% takedown defense) give her a strong edge in a likely standup-heavy contest. Bueno Silva's grappling threat is limited by low takedown efficiency (0.64 TD avg, 29% accuracy) and Cavalcanti's excellent takedown defense. Cavalcanti's volume and defense should control the pace en route to a clear decision.