Miles Johns vs Daniel Marcos

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Marcos holds significant advantages in striking volume (5.94 vs 3.28 SLPM) and striking differential (+1.94 vs +0.74). His perfect UFC record (5-0) demonstrates consistent execution against UFC-level competition. While Johns has superior wrestling credentials (85% TDD), Marcos' 87% TDD neutralizes this advantage. The common opponent analysis heavily favors Marcos - he defeated John Castaneda by decision while Johns lost by submission, indicating better overall game management. Marcos' 3-inch reach advantage combined with his volume-heavy approach should control distance effectively against the shorter Johns.

Daniel Marcos holds significant advantages in striking volume, accuracy, and effective strike rate. He has performed better against common opponents and possesses a higher win rate. Johns is defensively sound but struggles with offensive output and rarely finishes fights. Marcos's takedown defense should neutralize Johns's limited wrestling threat, making a decision win for Marcos the most probable outcome.