Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Duncan's significant reach advantage (79" vs 74") and superior striking accuracy (62% vs 51%) create a clear path to victory. His recent form shows 2 KO/TKO wins in his last 4 fights, demonstrating finishing power. Tulio's poor takedown defense (0%) and lower striking defense (58% vs Duncan's 49%) make him vulnerable to Duncan's switch stance attacks. The 50-50 community split suggests uncertainty, but the statistical edge clearly favors Duncan.

Duncan's superior striking accuracy (62%) and volume, combined with a 5-inch reach advantage, give him the edge on the feet, while Tulio's low takedown accuracy (20%) and 0% takedown defense may limit his grappling effectiveness. Tulio is more defensively sound but absorbs less damage, suggesting he will be competitive, but Duncan's offensive output and reach likely sway the judges.