Ramiz Brahimaj vs Oban Elliott
Welterweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Elliott holds significant advantages across key metrics that should prove decisive in this matchup. His striking differential (+1.58 vs -1.95) demonstrates superior offensive output and defensive awareness, landing more (3.82 vs 1.74 SLPM) while absorbing less (2.24 vs 3.69 SApM). Elliott's striking defense (61% vs 45%) and takedown defense (72% vs 44%) will neutralize Brahimaj's primary paths to victory. While Brahimaj has submission threat (1.6 SubAvg), Elliott's superior takedown accuracy (50% vs 35%) and defense should keep the fight in advantageous positions. Elliott's perfect UFC record contrasts sharply with Brahimaj's 33% win rate, and their form trajectories are divergent - Elliott on a three-fight win streak while Brahimaj has lost his last two. Elliott's 2-inch height advantage provides additional leverage in striking exchanges.
Oban Elliott has shown superior striking and grappling statistics, with a significantly higher strike rate, accuracy, and defense. Moreover, his takedown accuracy and defense are also higher. Ramiz Brahimaj's ground control and effective strike rate are considerably lower, and his overall win rate is much lower than Elliott's.