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Mateusz Gamrot vs Ludovit Klein

Lightweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber

FINAL: Mateusz Gamrot by U-DEC
Mateusz Gamrot
Mateusz Gamrot
Age 34 · Elo 1609
LWWWL
447 days since last fight
vs
Ludovit Klein
Ludovit Klein
Age 30 · Elo 1559
WWWWL
420 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Mateusz GamrotLudovit Klein
Claude Claude: Mateusz Gamrot 70% Claude: Ludovit Klein 30% 70% 30% GPT GPT: Mateusz Gamrot 35% GPT: Ludovit Klein 65% 35% 65% Elo Elo: Mateusz Gamrot 57% Elo: Ludovit Klein 43% 57% 43%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Mateusz GamrotLudovit Klein
Strikes landed / min Mateusz Gamrot Strikes landed / min: 3.23 3.23 Ludovit Klein Strikes landed / min: 3.81 3.81 Strikes absorbed / min Mateusz Gamrot Strikes absorbed / min: 3.22 3.22 Ludovit Klein Strikes absorbed / min: 3.22 3.22 Striking accuracy Mateusz Gamrot Striking accuracy: 50% 50% Ludovit Klein Striking accuracy: 54% 54% Striking defense Mateusz Gamrot Striking defense: 58% 58% Ludovit Klein Striking defense: 54% 54% Takedowns / 15 min Mateusz Gamrot Takedowns / 15 min: 5.25 5.25 Ludovit Klein Takedowns / 15 min: 1.70 1.70 Takedown defense Mateusz Gamrot Takedown defense: 90% 90% Ludovit Klein Takedown defense: 91% 91% Sub attempts / 15 min Mateusz Gamrot Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.1 0.1 Ludovit Klein Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 15% 15% Claude: Submission 25% 25% Claude: Decision 60% 60%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 20% 20% GPT: Submission 10% 10% GPT: Decision 70% 70%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Mateusz Gamrot by Decision, 70% confidence

Gamrot's wrestling pedigree and high-volume takedown approach (5.25 TDs per fight) will be the decisive factor against Klein. While Klein has impressive takedown defense (91%), Gamrot's persistence and chain wrestling should eventually break through. Klein's striking advantage (3.81 SLPM vs Gamrot's 3.23) will be neutralized by Gamrot's control-heavy approach. Both fighters are southpaws, but Gamrot's experience against elite competition gives him a significant edge in tactical adjustments. Klein's recent form is impressive with five straight wins, but Gamrot's level of competition has been substantially higher, providing crucial high-level experience.

GPT
Ludovit Klein by Decision, 65% confidence

Klein's superior striking volume and accuracy, as well as his higher win rate, give him the edge in this matchup. Gamrot's advantage in takedowns is likely to be neutralized by Klein's excellent takedown defense. The fight is expected to go the distance, as both fighters have a low finish rate.