Ketlen Vieira vs Macy Chiasson

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Chiasson enters this matchup with significant momentum, having won her last three fights including two finishes, while Vieira has struggled with consistency, dropping two of her last three. The statistical edge clearly favors Chiasson, who generates higher striking volume (3.77 vs 2.92 SLPM) with better accuracy (46% vs 41%) and maintains a positive strike differential (+0.98) compared to Vieira's negative differential (-0.98). Chiasson's superior takedown average (2.37 vs 1.39) will be crucial against Vieira's strong takedown defense (88%), but Chiasson's height and reach advantages (5'11"/72" vs 5'8"/68") will allow her to control distance and land at range. Their common opponent analysis shows equal performance, but Chiasson's recent form is significantly stronger with three consecutive wins including two finishes, compared to Vieira's inconsistency.

Macy Chiasson has a higher significant strikes landed per minute (SLPM) and takedown average (TDAvg) compared to Ketlen Vieira. Although Vieira has a better takedown defense, Chiasson's higher volume of strikes and takedowns could win her the fight by decision.