Erin Blanchfield vs Maycee Barber

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Blanchfield's superior grappling and submission threat will be the key differentiator in this matchup. While Barber has shown improved striking and is on a five-fight win streak, Blanchfield's wrestling credentials and ground control should neutralize Barber's striking advantage. Blanchfield's takedown average (2.05 per fight) coupled with her submission threat (1.0 per fight) creates a multi-dimensional attack that Barber has struggled with against elite grapplers. Though Blanchfield has lost her last two fights, those were against elite competition, and her technical approach should allow her to dictate where this fight takes place. Barber's 53% takedown defense is a significant vulnerability against Blanchfield's grappling-heavy approach.

Blanchfield has a higher SLPM, better StrDef, and a higher TDDef, indicating she can potentially outscore Barber over the course of the fight. Her grappling stats are also higher which can help her control the fight and score points.