Zachary Reese vs Dusko Todorovic
Middleweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Reese brings superior grappling credentials with a 55% takedown accuracy and 4.08 takedowns per fight against Todorovic's subpar 45% takedown defense. While Todorovic has slightly higher striking volume (5.54 vs 5.06), Reese's switch stance and 3-inch reach advantage will allow him to control distance effectively. Todorovic's defensive vulnerabilities (46% strike defense) combined with his 15-month layoff since his last KO loss to Jordan Wright create significant concerns. Reese's perfect 4-0 UFC record shows consistent improvement, while Todorovic has alternated wins and losses in his last five fights, showing vulnerability to both strikes and submissions.
Zachary Reese has a higher striking accuracy, significant takedown average and higher submission average than Dusko Todorovic. Despite Dusko's higher strike volume, Zachary's defensive efficiency and effective strike rate give him a clear advantage. The stylistic matchup also favors Zachary with a mixed physical advantage.