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Billy Ray Goff vs Seokhyeon Ko

Welterweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber

Billy Ray Goff
Billy Ray Goff
Age 26 · Elo 1481*
L
531 days since last fight
vs
Seokhyeon Ko
Seokhyeon Ko
Age 31 · Elo 1542*
No UFC fights on record

Who wins, by source

Billy Ray GoffSeokhyeon Ko
Claude Claude: Billy Ray Goff 60% Claude: Seokhyeon Ko 40% 60% 40% GPT GPT: Billy Ray Goff 65% GPT: Seokhyeon Ko 35% 65% 35% Elo Elo: Billy Ray Goff 41% Elo: Seokhyeon Ko 59% 41% 59%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Billy Ray GoffSeokhyeon Ko
Strikes landed / min Billy Ray Goff Strikes landed / min: 6.06 6.06 Seokhyeon Ko Strikes landed / min: 3.60 3.60 Strikes absorbed / min Billy Ray Goff Strikes absorbed / min: 7.29 7.29 Seokhyeon Ko Strikes absorbed / min: 3.33 3.33 Striking accuracy Billy Ray Goff Striking accuracy: 46% 46% Seokhyeon Ko Striking accuracy: 51% 51% Striking defense Billy Ray Goff Striking defense: 51% 51% Seokhyeon Ko Striking defense: 57% 57% Takedowns / 15 min Billy Ray Goff Takedowns / 15 min: 1.25 1.25 Seokhyeon Ko Takedowns / 15 min: 2.00 2.00 Takedown defense Billy Ray Goff Takedown defense: 66% 66% Seokhyeon Ko Takedown defense: 50% 50% Sub attempts / 15 min Billy Ray Goff Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0 Seokhyeon Ko Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 25% 25% Claude: Submission 5% Claude: Decision 70% 70%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 20% 20% GPT: Submission 0% GPT: Decision 80% 80%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Billy Ray Goff by Decision, 60% confidence

Goff's overwhelming striking volume (8.56 SLPM vs Ko's 3.6) will be the determining factor in this welterweight clash. Despite both fighters having similar takedown averages (2.01 vs 2.0), Goff's perfect 100% takedown defense gives him a significant defensive edge against Ko's grappling attempts. Goff's switch stance provides versatility against Ko's southpaw approach, allowing him to adjust angles throughout the fight. While Goff has lost both of his UFC appearances, his striking differential (+2.85) demonstrates his ability to outwork opponents, which should be effective against Ko's more measured approach (+0.27 differential).

GPT
Billy Ray Goff by Decision, 65% confidence

Billy Ray Goff has a higher strike volume, better strike defense, and perfect takedown defense. While both fighters have similar styles, Billy Ray Goff's defensive capabilities and higher volume of strikes give him an edge in this matchup.