Rayanne dos Santos vs Alice Ardelean

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

This matchup features two fighters on losing streaks with similar striking metrics but critical differences in grappling approach. Ardelean's superior takedown accuracy (40% vs 12%) and perfect takedown defense (100% vs 88%) provide a clear path to control positions. While dos Santos has a slight edge in striking defense (61% vs 52%), Ardelean's higher volume (4.97 vs 4.36 SLPM) and superior striking accuracy (45% vs 43%) should neutralize this advantage. Both fighters have struggled recently, but Ardelean's more balanced skill set and superior grappling credentials give her more pathways to victory in what projects as a competitive but clear decision win.

Alice Ardelean has a slight edge in striking accuracy and volume, which could make the difference in a fight that appears likely to go the distance. Although Rayanne dos Santos has a higher takedown defense, Ardelean's superior takedown accuracy and volume may allow her to control the fight's pace and positioning. Both fighters have similar styles, but Ardelean's slight advantages in key areas give her the edge.