Nikolay Veretennikov vs Niko Price
Welterweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Price's significant volume advantage (5.21 vs 3.4 SLPM) and proven finishing ability create overwhelming pressure for Veretennikov. While Veretennikov has better striking accuracy (59% vs 42%), Price's 53% higher output and willingness to engage in firefights favors his chaotic style. Veretennikov's recent losses by decision suggest durability issues against pressure fighters, and Price's 76-inch reach advantage helps him land from range.
Price's much higher output, proven UFC finishing power, and opportunistic grappling give him more paths to victory against a lower-volume, largely unproven UFC commodity in Veretennikov. While Price's defense and durability have declined, his chaos-heavy style, willingness to push pace, and ability to mix in takedowns and submissions should force more high-variance exchanges that favor his experience and finishing instincts, especially over three rounds.