Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

This matchup heavily favors Gafurov due to Wiklacz's complete lack of UFC experience and recorded statistics. Gafurov comes off back-to-back unanimous decision wins and shows solid fundamentals with 68% takedown defense and moderate striking volume. Wiklacz having zero recorded strikes, takedowns, or any measurable UFC statistics indicates he's either a late replacement or making his debut. Gafurov's experience edge and proven ability to go the distance make him the clear favorite.

Gafurov has proven UFC-level experience with efficient output, solid offensive wrestling, and a positive striking differential, while Wiklacz is debuting with no UFC data, creating high uncertainty about his ability to handle UFC pace and physicality. Gafurov's takedown volume and accuracy, combined with serviceable striking and defensive metrics, suggest he can control minutes, mix levels, and bank rounds even if he cannot consistently finish a durable regional champion type like Wiklacz.