Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Wang Cong's striking metrics are overwhelmingly superior - landing 7.07 strikes per minute with 59% accuracy while absorbing only 0.73, creating a +6.34 differential. Moura's recent form is concerning with 3 consecutive losses and poor striking defense at 51%. Wang's 100% finish rate via KO/TKO in her last two fights, combined with Moura's vulnerability to strikes and frequent weight class changes (3 in recent fights), suggests Wang will overwhelm her with volume and power.

Statistically this is an extreme offense-vs-defense grappling matchup. Wang Cong shows enormous submission output (7.3 subs per 15, 100% TD accuracy, 7.07 SLpM with 59% accuracy and elite 76% striking defense) even if inflated by small-sample data, suggesting a very aggressive, finishing-oriented style. Moura's game is built around volume wrestling (5.15 TDs/15) but with mediocre TD accuracy (30%) and only 0.6 subs/15; she also absorbs nearly as many strikes as she lands and has just 51% striking defense. The pivotal stat clash is Wang's high-level submission aggression and striking efficiency versus Moura's historically perfect TD defense (100%) and grinding approach. If Moura's TDD holds, she can drag this into extended clinch and top-control exchanges where her pace and durability give her a path to a grinding decision. But Wang's massive differential in both striking (+6.34 vs +0.99) and submission volume, combined with Moura's hittability and lower finishing threat, tilts the overall expectation toward Wang finding either a club-and-sub or opportunistic submission in scrambles over three rounds.