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UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. OliveiraWomen's FlyweightPrelims
Wang CongWINNER
Wang
Cong
4-0UFC
33 yrsElo 1579
VS
Eduarda Moura
Eduarda
Moura
2-2UFC
31 yrsElo 1476
Final: Wang Cong by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
75%
Cong
GPT
63%
Cong
Elo
64%
Cong
1579 vs 1476
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'6" Height 5'6"
66" Reach 67"
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
7.07 Landed / min 2.57
0.73 Absorbed / minlower better 2.50
59% Strike accuracy 37%
76% Strike defense 58%
3.66 Takedowns / 15 3.58
100% TD accuracy 34%
0% TD defense 80%
7.3 Subs / 15 0.4
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 65%Claude: Submission 15%Claude: Decision 20%
65%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 65%Submission 15%Decision 20%
GPT: KO/TKO 18%GPT: Submission 44%GPT: Decision 38%
44%Submission
GPT calls Submission
KO/TKO 18%Submission 44%Decision 38%
Formnewest first
Wang Cong245 days out
W
Ariane da Silva
U-DEC · 2025-06-07
W
Bruna Brasil
U-DEC · 2025-02-08
W
Gabriella Fernandes
· 2024-11-23
W
Victoria Leonardo
KO/TKO · 2024-03-16
Eduarda Moura210 days out
W
Lauren Murphy
U-DEC · 2025-07-12
L
Veronica Hardy
· 2024-11-16
L
Denise Gomes
S-DEC · 2024-01-06
W
Montserrat Conejo Ruiz
KO/TKO · 2023-11-04
Why
Claude
Wang Cong
75% · KO/TKO
  • Wang's +6.34 striking differential vs Moura's +0.99 - a massive 5.35 advantage
  • Wang's 76% striking defense vs Moura's 51% - Wang absorbs 25% fewer strikes
  • Moura on 3-fight losing streak with inconsistent weight management
  • Wang's 100% KO/TKO finish rate in UFC matches her aggressive southpaw style
Write-up

Wang Cong's striking metrics are overwhelmingly superior - landing 7.07 strikes per minute with 59% accuracy while absorbing only 0.73, creating a +6.34 differential. Moura's recent form is concerning with 3 consecutive losses and poor striking defense at 51%. Wang's 100% finish rate via KO/TKO in her last two fights, combined with Moura's vulnerability to strikes and frequent weight class changes (3 in recent fights), suggests Wang will overwhelm her with volume and power.

GPT
Wang Cong
63% · Submission
  • Wang Cong's elite submission metrics (7.3 subs/15, 100% TD accuracy) vs Moura's much lower sub output (0.6/15)
  • Striking differential heavily favors Wang (+6.34 vs +0.99) with better accuracy and far better defense (76% vs 51%)
  • Moura's style relies on volume takedowns and control, but her 30% TD accuracy may struggle to consistently ground a more efficient, dangerous finisher
Write-up

Statistically this is an extreme offense-vs-defense grappling matchup. Wang Cong shows enormous submission output (7.3 subs per 15, 100% TD accuracy, 7.07 SLpM with 59% accuracy and elite 76% striking defense) even if inflated by small-sample data, suggesting a very aggressive, finishing-oriented style. Moura's game is built around volume wrestling (5.15 TDs/15) but with mediocre TD accuracy (30%) and only 0.6 subs/15; she also absorbs nearly as many strikes as she lands and has just 51% striking defense. The pivotal stat clash is Wang's high-level submission aggression and striking efficiency versus Moura's historically perfect TD defense (100%) and grinding approach. If Moura's TDD holds, she can drag this into extended clinch and top-control exchanges where her pace and durability give her a path to a grinding decision. But Wang's massive differential in both striking (+6.34 vs +0.99) and submission volume, combined with Moura's hittability and lower finishing threat, tilts the overall expectation toward Wang finding either a club-and-sub or opportunistic submission in scrambles over three rounds.