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UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. OliveiraLight HeavyweightPrelims
Dustin JacobyWINNER
Dustin
Jacoby
9-7UFC
37 yrsElo 1552
VS
Julius Walker
Julius
Walker
1-1UFC
26 yrsElo 1507*
Final: Dustin Jacoby by KO/TKO Punches
Who wins
Claude
68%
Jacoby
GPT
78%
Jacoby
Elo
56%
Jacoby
1552 vs 1507
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'3" Height n/a
76" Reach n/a
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
5.50 Landed / min n/a
4.14 Absorbed / minlower better n/a
47% Strike accuracy 0%
57% Strike defense 0%
0.36 Takedowns / 15 n/a
25% TD accuracy 0%
60% TD defense 0%
Small sample: Julius Walker, 2 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 55%Claude: Submission 5%Claude: Decision 40%
55%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 55%Submission 5%Decision 40%
GPT: KO/TKO 63%GPT: Submission 4%GPT: Decision 33%
63%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO
KO/TKO 63%Submission 4%Decision 33%
Formnewest first
Dustin Jacoby252 days out
W
Bruno Lopes
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-05-31
W
Vitor Petrino
KO/TKO Punch · 2024-12-14
L
Dominick Reyes
KO/TKO · 2024-01-06
L
Alonzo Menifield
U-DEC · 2023-12-16
W
Kennedy Nzechukwu
KO/TKO · 2023-08-05
Julius Walker182 days out
W
Rafael Cerqueira
U-DEC · 2025-08-09
L
Alonzo Menifield
S-DEC · 2025-02-22
Why
Claude
Dustin Jacoby
68% · KO/TKO
  • Jacoby's 5.5 SLPM with proven UFC knockout power vs Walker's zero UFC experience
  • 76-inch reach advantage allows Jacoby to control distance against unknown opponent
  • Jacoby's losses to ranked fighters vs Walker facing massive step up in competition
  • Orthodox mirror stance favors experienced striker with established patterns
Write-up

Walker's complete lack of UFC data and experience makes this a massive mismatch. Jacoby, despite his recent 3-fight losing streak, brings elite kickboxing with 5.5 strikes landed per minute and a 76-inch reach. His losses came to ranked competition (Alonzo Menifield, Azamat Murzakanov), not UFC debutants. Walker's youth (25 vs 36) is his only advantage, but Jacoby's veteran savvy and proven power at 205 pounds should overwhelm an untested opponent.

GPT
Dustin Jacoby
78% · KO/TKO
  • Significant experience and success against UFC-level strikers compared to Walker's unproven UFC sample
  • High striking volume (5.5 SLpM) with strong accuracy (47%) and positive differential vs. a debuting opponent with no recorded defense
  • Stylistic matchup favors a technical kickboxer against a likely less-polished, less-tested striker over 3 rounds
Write-up

Jacoby is a proven, high-volume, accurate UFC kickboxer with solid striking defense and experience against ranked light heavyweights, while Walker has no meaningful UFC statistical sample or demonstrated effectiveness at this level. Over three rounds, Jacoby's pace, shot selection, and experience edge make an early-to-mid fight standing stoppage the most likely outcome.