Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Souza's superior striking volume (5.11 vs 2.94 SLPM) and 0.8 submission average create a dual threat Brasil struggles to defend. Souza's 3-fight win streak with 2 recent submissions shows peak form, while Brasil's 50% striking defense leaves her vulnerable to Souza's 66% accurate strikes. The striking differential of +2.17 for Souza forces Brasil to shoot takedowns, playing into Souza's submission game.

Souza profiles as the higher-output, more efficient striker with better defensive metrics and a strong positive strike differential, while Brasil is negative in exchanges and relies more on opportunistic wrestling that may struggle against Souza's solid takedown defense. Over three rounds, Souza's pace, accuracy, and slightly better defensive numbers should allow her to outland Brasil and control the tempo, with both fighters historically showing limited finishing at this level, making a decision the most likely outcome.