Sean Brady vs Joaquin Buckley

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Brady's superior wrestling volume (3.49 TD avg at 52% with 85% TD defense) and tighter defensive metrics (60% striking defense vs Buckley's 57% and slightly lower SApM) point to sustained top control and clinch time neutralizing Buckley's explosive but less accurate striking (36% accuracy). Buckley's improved wrestling offense won't likely be enough to consistently win grappling exchanges against Brady's proven positional grappling and submission threat, especially over three rounds, making a control-heavy decision for Brady the most probable outcome.