Brady's superior wrestling volume (3.49 TD avg at 52% with 85% TD defense) and tighter defensive metrics (60% striking defense vs Buckley's 57% and slightly lower SApM) point to sustained top control and clinch time neutralizing Buckley's explosive but less accurate striking (36% accuracy). Buckley's improved wrestling offense won't likely be enough to consistently win grappling exchanges against Brady's proven positional grappling and submission threat, especially over three rounds, making a control-heavy decision for Brady the most probable outcome.