Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes Acosta

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Volkov brings a far deeper, more proven heavyweight resume with superior shot selection, accuracy, and five-round experience against elite competition. His 57% accuracy on solid volume, combined with better strike differential and more diverse offense (kicks, teeps, knees, and clinch work), should allow him to control range and score consistently against Cortes Acosta's more boxing-centric, predictable patterns. Waldo's output and durability keep him competitive, but his tendency to accept a kickboxing match at range, limited layered offense, and modest grappling threat favor Volkov's technical striking, distance management, and veteran composure over three rounds.