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UFC 328: Chimaev vs. StricklandHeavyweightMain card
Alexander VolkovWINNER
Alexander
Volkov
13-5UFC
37 yrsElo 1652
VS
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Waldo Cortes
Acosta
2-0UFC
34 yrsElo 1526*
Final: Alexander Volkov by U-DEC
Who wins
GPT
72%
Volkov
Elo
67%
Volkov
1652 vs 1526
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'7" Height 6'4"
80" Reach 78"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
5.13 Landed / min 5.34
3.00 Absorbed / minlower better 3.63
57% Strike accuracy 48%
55% Strike defense 54%
0.45 Takedowns / 15 0.40
63% TD accuracy 50%
73% TD defense 73%
0.2 Subs / 15 0.1
Small sample: Waldo Cortes Acosta, 2 UFC fights.
How it ends
GPT: KO/TKO 38%GPT: Submission 7%GPT: Decision 55%
55%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 38%Submission 7%Decision 55%
Formnewest first
Alexander Volkov196 days out
W
Jailton Almeida
S-DEC · 2025-10-25
L
Ciryl Gane
S-DEC · 2024-12-07
W
Sergei Pavlovich
U-DEC · 2024-01-20
W
Tai Tuivasa
SUB · 2023-09-09
W
Alexandr Romanov
KO/TKO · 2023-03-11
Waldo Cortes Acosta104 days out
W
Derrick Lewis
KO/TKO Punches · 2026-01-24
W
Shamil Gaziev
KO/TKO Punch · 2025-11-22
Why
GPT
Alexander Volkov
72% · Decision
  • Technical striking edge: Higher accuracy (57% vs 48%), better shot selection, and a more complete kickboxing arsenal favor Volkov in a largely stand-up matchup.
  • Strike differential and defense: Volkov's superior differential (5.13 SLpM vs 3.0 SApM) versus Waldo's (5.53 vs 3.52) suggests Volkov wins minutes more cleanly at range.
  • Experience and level of competition: Volkov has extensive experience against top-10 and title-level heavyweights, while Cortes Acosta is still largely unproven at that tier, making Volkov more reliable over 15 minutes.
Write-up

Volkov brings a far deeper, more proven heavyweight resume with superior shot selection, accuracy, and five-round experience against elite competition. His 57% accuracy on solid volume, combined with better strike differential and more diverse offense (kicks, teeps, knees, and clinch work), should allow him to control range and score consistently against Cortes Acosta's more boxing-centric, predictable patterns. Waldo's output and durability keep him competitive, but his tendency to accept a kickboxing match at range, limited layered offense, and modest grappling threat favor Volkov's technical striking, distance management, and veteran composure over three rounds.