Tatiana Suarez vs Loopy Godinez
Women's Strawweight · Prelims · UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Suarez's elite wrestling and top control (6.2 TDs per 15, 61% accuracy, 100% TD defense) combined with a huge defensive striking edge (1.38 SApM vs Godinez's 3.87) point to her dictating where the fight takes place. Godinez is a strong, well-rounded grappler with solid 81% TDD and higher striking defense, but she is significantly outgunned in pure wrestling and physical dominance over three rounds. Suarez's southpaw pressure, chain wrestling and ability to ride out long top-control stretches should blunt Loopy's boxing combinations and offensive wrestling, leading to extended control time, moderate ground-and-pound, and potentially late submission threats. Godinez's toughness and scrambling usually keep her in fights, making a Suarez decision more likely than a finish, but the skill and physicality gap in grappling still clearly favors Suarez.