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Tatiana Suarez vs Loopy Godinez

Women's Strawweight · Prelims · UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg

FINAL: Tatiana Suarez by SUB Rear Naked Choke
Tatiana Suarez
Tatiana Suarez
Age 35 · Elo 1641
WLWWW
210 days since last fight
vs
Loopy Godinez
Loopy Godinez
Age 32 · Elo 1550
WWLLW
238 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Tatiana SuarezLoopy Godinez
GPT GPT: Tatiana Suarez 79% GPT: Loopy Godinez 21% 79% 21% Elo Elo: Tatiana Suarez 63% Elo: Loopy Godinez 37% 63% 37%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Tatiana SuarezLoopy Godinez
Strikes landed / min Tatiana Suarez Strikes landed / min: 4.27 4.27 Loopy Godinez Strikes landed / min: 4.28 4.28 Strikes absorbed / min Tatiana Suarez Strikes absorbed / min: 1.38 1.38 Loopy Godinez Strikes absorbed / min: 3.87 3.87 Striking accuracy Tatiana Suarez Striking accuracy: 63% 63% Loopy Godinez Striking accuracy: 48% 48% Striking defense Tatiana Suarez Striking defense: 51% 51% Loopy Godinez Striking defense: 61% 61% Takedowns / 15 min Tatiana Suarez Takedowns / 15 min: 6.20 6.20 Loopy Godinez Takedowns / 15 min: 3.12 3.12 Takedown defense Tatiana Suarez Takedown defense: 100% 100% Loopy Godinez Takedown defense: 81% 81% Sub attempts / 15 min Tatiana Suarez Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.9 0.9 Loopy Godinez Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.9 0.9

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
GPT GPT: KO/TKO 14% 14% GPT: Submission 26% 26% GPT: Decision 60% 60%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

GPT
Tatiana Suarez by Decision, 79% confidence

Suarez's elite wrestling and top control (6.2 TDs per 15, 61% accuracy, 100% TD defense) combined with a huge defensive striking edge (1.38 SApM vs Godinez's 3.87) point to her dictating where the fight takes place. Godinez is a strong, well-rounded grappler with solid 81% TDD and higher striking defense, but she is significantly outgunned in pure wrestling and physical dominance over three rounds. Suarez's southpaw pressure, chain wrestling and ability to ride out long top-control stretches should blunt Loopy's boxing combinations and offensive wrestling, leading to extended control time, moderate ground-and-pound, and potentially late submission threats. Godinez's toughness and scrambling usually keep her in fights, making a Suarez decision more likely than a finish, but the skill and physicality gap in grappling still clearly favors Suarez.