- Massive wrestling advantage for Suarez: 6.2 TDs/15 at 61% vs Godinez's 3.12 at 47%, plus 100% takedown defense
- Striking durability and defense edge for Suarez: 1.38 SApM vs Godinez's 3.87 SApM, with Suarez able to use strikes mainly to close distance
- Godinez's 81% TDD and scrambling likely extend the fight, but she is historically controllable against stronger wrestlers, favoring Suarez by decision over three rounds
Write-up
Suarez's elite wrestling and top control (6.2 TDs per 15, 61% accuracy, 100% TD defense) combined with a huge defensive striking edge (1.38 SApM vs Godinez's 3.87) point to her dictating where the fight takes place. Godinez is a strong, well-rounded grappler with solid 81% TDD and higher striking defense, but she is significantly outgunned in pure wrestling and physical dominance over three rounds. Suarez's southpaw pressure, chain wrestling and ability to ride out long top-control stretches should blunt Loopy's boxing combinations and offensive wrestling, leading to extended control time, moderate ground-and-pound, and potentially late submission threats. Godinez's toughness and scrambling usually keep her in fights, making a Suarez decision more likely than a finish, but the skill and physicality gap in grappling still clearly favors Suarez.